Articles | Volume 23, issue 17
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-6211-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-6211-2026
Research article
 | 
07 Sep 2026
Research article |  | 07 Sep 2026

Asymmetry in carbon cycle feedbacks and transient climate response under positive and negative CO2 emissions

V. Rachel Chimuka and Kirsten Zickfeld

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Cited articles

Arora, V., Boer, G., Friedlingstein, P., Eby, M., Jones, C. D., Christian, J. R., Bonan, G., Bopp, L., Brovkin, V., Cadule, P., Hajima, T., Ilyina, T., Lindsay, K., Tjiputra, J. F., and Wu, T.: Carbon-concentration and carbon-climate feedbacks in CMIP5 earth system models, J. Clim., 26, 5289–5314, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00494.1, 2013. 
Asaadi, A., Schwinger, J., Lee, H., Tjiputra, J., Arora, V., Séférian, R., Liddicoat, S., Hajima, T., Santana-Falcón, Y., and Jones, C. D.: Carbon cycle feedbacks in an idealized simulation and a scenario simulation of negative emissions in CMIP6 Earth system models, Biogeosciences, 21, 411–435, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-411-2024, 2024. 
Boer, G. J. and Arora, V.: Geographic Aspects of Temperature and Concentration Feedbacks in the Carbon Budget, J. Clim., 23, 775–784, https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI3161.1, 2010. 
Boer, G. J. and Arora, V.: Feedbacks in emission-driven and concentration-driven global carbon budgets, J. Climate, 32, 3326–3341, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00365.1, 2013. 
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Short summary
Using Earth system model simulations, we show that carbon cycle feedbacks are asymmetric under positive and negative CO2 emissions due to non-linear responses to CO2 and temperature change, and asymmetric ocean circulation changes. These asymmetries propagate onto the asymmetry in the transient climate response to cumulative emissions. Our work emphasizes the need to evaluate climate and carbon metrics under negative emissions rather than applying metrics from positive emissions scenarios.
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