Articles | Volume 23, issue 21
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-8063-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-8063-2026
Research article
 | 
11 Nov 2026
Research article |  | 11 Nov 2026

Quantifying the near-term response of the ocean CO2 sink to reduced atmospheric carbon concentrations

Amanda R. Fay, Dustin Carroll, Galen A. McKinley, Nicole S. Lovenduski, Dimitris Menemenlis, and Hong Zhang

Data sets

Evaluation of the ECCO-Darwin ocean biogeochemistry state estimate vs. in-situ observations Dustin Carroll et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10627664

Model code and software

dustincarrollocean/ecco_Darwin: v05 1985 back-extension (1985_back_extension) Dustin Carroll et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13259496

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Short summary
The ocean helps slow climate change by absorbing carbon dioxide, but our research shows this process weakens quickly when we reduce emissions. Using a sophisticated model, we found that the ocean’s carbon uptake drops within just a few years of mitigation. This change is most visible in the North Atlantic and Southern Ocean. To accurately track our progress in addressing climate change, we must focus global monitoring efforts on these specific, sensitive regions of the open sea.
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