Risk of crop failure due to compound dry and hot extremes estimated with nested copulas

Ribeiro, Andreia Filipa Silva; Russo, Ana; Gouveia, Célia Marina; Páscoa, Patrícia; Zscheischler, Jakob

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-4815-2020

Articles | Volume 17, issue 19

https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-4815-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Special issue:

Understanding compound weather and climate events and related...

https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-4815-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 17, issue 19

Research article

|

09 Oct 2020

Research article |

| 09 Oct 2020

Risk of crop failure due to compound dry and hot extremes estimated with nested copulas

Andreia Filipa Silva Ribeiro, Ana Russo, Célia Marina Gouveia, Patrícia Páscoa, and Jakob Zscheischler

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Final revised paper (published on 09 Oct 2020)
Preprint (discussion started on 01 Apr 2020)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'comments on bg-2020-116', Anonymous Referee #1, 14 Apr 2020
- AC1: 'Response to Anonymous Referee #1', Andreia Ribeiro, 24 Jun 2020
RC2: '“Risk of crop failure due to compound dry and hot extremes estimated with nested copulas”', Anonymous Referee #2, 20 Apr 2020
- AC2: 'Response to Anonymous Referee #2', Andreia Ribeiro, 24 Jun 2020
RC3: 'Risk of crop failure due to compound dry and hot extremes estimated with nested copulas', Anonymous Referee #3, 05 Jun 2020
- AC3: 'Response to Anonymous Referee #3', Andreia Ribeiro, 24 Jun 2020
EC1: 'Editor response to reviewer reply', Bart van den Hurk, 18 Jun 2020
- AC4: 'Response to Editor', Andreia Ribeiro, 24 Jun 2020

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (08 Jul 2020) by Bart van den Hurk

ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (13 Jul 2020) by Michael Bahn (Co-editor-in-chief)

AR by Andreia Ribeiro on behalf of the Authors (21 Jul 2020) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Publish as is (29 Jul 2020) by Bart van den Hurk

ED: Publish as is (04 Aug 2020) by Michael Bahn (Co-editor-in-chief)

AR by Andreia Ribeiro on behalf of the Authors (06 Aug 2020)

Short summary

This study investigates the impacts of compound dry and hot extremes on crop yields, namely wheat and barley, over two regions in Spain dominated by rainfed agriculture. We provide estimates of the conditional probability of crop loss under compound dry and hot conditions, which could be an important tool for responsible authorities to mitigate the impacts magnified by the interactions between the different hazards.