Articles | Volume 18, issue 23
Biogeosciences, 18, 6329–6347, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-6329-2021
Biogeosciences, 18, 6329–6347, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-6329-2021

Research article 13 Dec 2021

Research article | 13 Dec 2021

Nitrogen restricts future sub-arctic treeline advance in an individual-based dynamic vegetation model

Adrian Gustafson et al.

Data sets

ISRIC-WISE global data ser of derived soil properties on a 0.5 degree grid N. H. Batjes http://data.isric.org/geonetwork/srv/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/dc7b283a-8f19-45e1-aaed-e9bd515119bc

Model code and software

Array programming with NumPy C. R. Harris, K. J. Millman, S. J. van der Walt, R. Gommers, P. Virtanen, D. Cournapeau, E. Wieser, J. Taylor, S. Berg, N. J. Smith, R. Kern, M. Picus, S. Hoyer, M. H. van Kerkwijk, M. Brett, A. Haldane, J. Fernández del Río, M. Wiebe, P. Peterson, P. Gérard-Marchant, K. Sheppard, T. Reddy, W. Weckesser, H. Abbasi, C. Gohlke, and T. E. Oliphant https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2649-2

pandas-dev/pandas The pandas development team https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4309786

ScipPy python package R. Gommers, P. Virtanen, E. Burovski, T. E. Oliphant, W. Weckesser, D. Cournapeau, alexbrc, T. Reddy, P. Peterson, M. Haberland, J. Wilson, A. Nelson, endolith, N. Mayorov, S. van der Walt, I. Polat, D. Laxalde, M. Brett, E. Larson, J. Millman, Lars, P. van Mulbregt, eric-jones, C. J. Carey, E. Moore, R. Kern, peterbell10, T. Leslie, J. Perktold, and K. Striega https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.595738

matplotlib/matplotlib Thomas A. Caswell, Michael Droettboom Mozilla, Antony Lee, Elliott Sales de Andrade, Tim Hoffmann, John Hunter, Jody Klymak, Eric Firing, David Stansby, Nelle Varoquaux, Jens Hedegaard Nielsen, Benjamin Root, Ryan May, Phil Elson, Jouni K. Seppänen, Darren Dale, Jae-Joon Lee, Damon McDougall, Andrew Straw, Paul Hobson, hannah, Christoph Gohlke, Adrien F. Vincent, Tony S. Yu, Eric Ma, Steven Silvester, Charlie Moad, Nikita Kniazev, Elan Ernest, and Paul Ivanov https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.592536

Executable research compendia (ERC)

SciTools/cartopy Phil Elson, Elliott Sales de Andrade, Greg Lucas, Ryan May, Richard Hattersley, Ed Campbell, Andrew Dawson, Stephane Raynaud, scmc72, Bill Little, Alan D. Snow, Kevin Donkers, Byron Blay, Peter Killick, Nat Wilson, Patrick Peglar, lbdreyer, Andrew, Jon Szymaniak, Adrien Berchet, Corinne Bosley, Luke Davis, Filipe, John Krasting, Matthew Bradbury, Daniel Kirkham, stephenworsley, Clément, Giacomo Caria, and Mark Hedley https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1182735

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Short summary
We performed model simulations of vegetation change for a historic period and a range of climate change scenarios at a high spatial resolution. Projected treeline advance continued at the same or increased rates compared to our historic simulation. Temperature isotherms advanced faster than treelines, revealing a lag in potential vegetation shifts that was modulated by nitrogen availability. At the year 2100 projected treelines had advanced by 45–195 elevational metres depending on the scenario.
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