Articles | Volume 18, issue 23
Biogeosciences, 18, 6329–6347, 2021
Biogeosciences, 18, 6329–6347, 2021
Research article
13 Dec 2021
Research article | 13 Dec 2021

Nitrogen restricts future sub-arctic treeline advance in an individual-based dynamic vegetation model

Adrian Gustafson et al.

Related authors

Long-term changes of nitrogen leaching and their contributions to lake eutrophication dynamics on the Yangtze Plain of China
Qi Guan, Jing Tang, Lian Feng, Stefan Olin, and Guy Schurgers
Biogeosciences Discuss.,,, 2022
Preprint under review for BG
Short summary
LPJ-GUESS/LSMv1.0: a next-generation land surface model with high ecological realism
David Martín Belda, Peter Anthoni, David Wårlind, Stefan Olin, Guy Schurgers, Jing Tang, Benjamin Smith, and Almut Arneth
Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 6709–6745,,, 2022
Short summary
Climate and parameter sensitivity and induced uncertainties in carbon stock projections for European forests (using LPJ-GUESS 4.0)
Johannes Oberpriller, Christine Herschlein, Peter Anthoni, Almut Arneth, Andreas Krause, Anja Rammig, Mats Lindeskog, Stefan Olin, and Florian Hartig
Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 6495–6519,,, 2022
Short summary
Opening Pandora's box: How to constrain regional projections of the carbon cycle
Lina Teckentrup, Martin Gerard De Kauwe, Gab Abramowitz, Andrew John Pitman, Anna Maria Ukkola, Sanaa Hobeichi, Bastien François, and Benjamin Smith
EGUsphere,,, 2022
Short summary
Assessing the impacts of agricultural managements on soil carbon stocks, nitrogen loss, and crop production – a modelling study in eastern Africa
Jianyong Ma, Sam S. Rabin, Peter Anthoni, Anita D. Bayer, Sylvia S. Nyawira, Stefan Olin, Longlong Xia, and Almut Arneth
Biogeosciences, 19, 2145–2169,,, 2022
Short summary

Related subject area

Biodiversity and Ecosystem Function: Terrestrial
Observed water and light limitation across global ecosystems
François Jonard, Andrew F. Feldman, Daniel J. Short Gianotti, and Dara Entekhabi
Biogeosciences, 19, 5575–5590,,, 2022
Short summary
Technical note: Novel estimates of the leaf relative uptake rate of carbonyl sulfide from optimality theory
Georg Wohlfahrt, Albin Hammerle, Felix M. Spielmann, Florian Kitz, and Chuixiang Yi
Biogeosciences Discuss.,,, 2022
Revised manuscript accepted for BG
Short summary
A question of scale: modeling biomass, gain and mortality distributions of a tropical forest
Nikolai Knapp, Sabine Attinger, and Andreas Huth
Biogeosciences, 19, 4929–4944,,, 2022
Short summary
Seed traits and phylogeny explain plants' geographic distribution
Kai Chen, Kevin S. Burgess, Fangliang He, Xiang-Yun Yang, Lian-Ming Gao, and De-Zhu Li
Biogeosciences, 19, 4801–4810,,, 2022
Short summary
Effect of the presence of plateau pikas on the ecosystem services of alpine meadows
Ying Ying Chen, Huan Yang, Gen Sheng Bao, Xiao Pan Pang, and Zheng Gang Guo
Biogeosciences, 19, 4521–4532,,, 2022
Short summary

Cited articles

Ainsworth, E. A. and Long, S. P.: What have we learned from 15 years of free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE)? A meta-analytic review of the responses of photosynthesis, canopy properties and plant production to rising CO2, New Phytol., 165, 351–371,, 2005. 
Barnekow, L.: Holocene tree-line dynamics and inferred climatic changes in the Abisko area, nothern Sweden, based on macrofossil and pollen records, The Holocene, 9, 253–265, 1999. 
Batjes, N. H.: ISRIC-WISE global data ser of derived soil properties on a 0.5 by 0.5 grid (version 3.0), ISRIC – World Soil Information, Wageningen, available at: (last access: 10 December 2021) 2005. 
Berglund, B. E., Barnekow, L., Hammarlund, D., Sandgren, P., and Snowball, I. F.: Holocene forest dynamics and climate changes in the Abisko area, northern Sweden – the Sonesson model of vegetation history reconsidered and confirmed, Ecol. Bull., 45, 15–30, 1996. 
Bhatt, U. S., Walker, D. A., Raynolds, M. K., Comiso, J. C., Epstein, H. E., Jia, G., Gens, R., Pinzon, J. E., Tucker, C. J., Tweedie, C. E., and Webber, P. J.: Circumpolar Arctic Tundra Vegetation Change Is Linked to Sea Ice Decline, Earth Interact., 14, 1–20,, 2010. 
Short summary
We performed model simulations of vegetation change for a historic period and a range of climate change scenarios at a high spatial resolution. Projected treeline advance continued at the same or increased rates compared to our historic simulation. Temperature isotherms advanced faster than treelines, revealing a lag in potential vegetation shifts that was modulated by nitrogen availability. At the year 2100 projected treelines had advanced by 45–195 elevational metres depending on the scenario.
Final-revised paper