Articles | Volume 15, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-1497-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-1497-2018
Research article
 | 
14 Mar 2018
Research article |  | 14 Mar 2018

Estimation of gross land-use change and its uncertainty using a Bayesian data assimilation approach

Peter Levy, Marcel van Oijen, Gwen Buys, and Sam Tomlinson

Related authors

Quantifying the soil sink of atmospheric Hydrogen: a full year of field measurements from grassland and forest soils in the UK
Nicholas Cowan, Toby Roberts, Mark Hanlon, Aurelia Bezanger, Galina Toteva, Alex Tweedie, Karen Yeung, Ajinkya Deshpande, Peter Levy, Ute Skiba, Eiko Nemitz, and Julia Drewer
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3654,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3654, 2024
Short summary
Mapping soil moisture across the UK: assimilating cosmic-ray neutron sensors, remotely sensed indices, rainfall radar and catchment water balance data in a Bayesian hierarchical model
Peter E. Levy and the COSMOS-UK team
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 4819–4836, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-4819-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-4819-2024, 2024
Short summary
The effects of land use on soil carbon stocks in the UK
Peter Levy, Laura Bentley, Peter Danks, Bridget Emmett, Angus Garbutt, Stephen Heming, Peter Henrys, Aidan Keith, Inma Lebron, Niall McNamara, Richard Pywell, John Redhead, David Robinson, and Alexander Wickenden
Biogeosciences, 21, 4301–4315, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4301-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4301-2024, 2024
Short summary
Atmospheric oxygen as a tracer for fossil fuel carbon dioxide: a sensitivity study in the UK
Hannah Chawner, Eric Saboya, Karina E. Adcock, Tim Arnold, Yuri Artioli, Caroline Dylag, Grant L. Forster, Anita Ganesan, Heather Graven, Gennadi Lessin, Peter Levy, Ingrid T. Luijkx, Alistair Manning, Penelope A. Pickers, Chris Rennick, Christian Rödenbeck, and Matthew Rigby
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 24, 4231–4252, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-4231-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-4231-2024, 2024
Short summary
Quantifying fossil fuel methane emissions using observations of atmospheric ethane and an uncertain emission ratio
Alice E. Ramsden, Anita L. Ganesan, Luke M. Western, Matthew Rigby, Alistair J. Manning, Amy Foulds, James L. France, Patrick Barker, Peter Levy, Daniel Say, Adam Wisher, Tim Arnold, Chris Rennick, Kieran M. Stanley, Dickon Young, and Simon O'Doherty
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 3911–3929, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-3911-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-3911-2022, 2022
Short summary

Related subject area

Biogeochemistry: Land
Cropland expansion drives vegetation greenness decline in Southeast Asia
Ruiying Zhao, Xiangzhong Luo, Yuheng Yang, Luri Nurlaila Syahid, Chi Chen, and Janice Ser Huay Lee
Biogeosciences, 21, 5393–5406, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-5393-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-5393-2024, 2024
Short summary
How to measure the efficiency of bioenergy crops compared to forestation
Sabine Egerer, Stefanie Falk, Dorothea Mayer, Tobias Nützel, Wolfgang A. Obermeier, and Julia Pongratz
Biogeosciences, 21, 5005–5025, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-5005-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-5005-2024, 2024
Short summary
Implications of climate and litter quality for simulations of litterbag decomposition at high latitudes
Elin Ristorp Aas, Inge Althuizen, Hui Tang, Sonya Geange, Eva Lieungh, Vigdis Vandvik, and Terje Koren Berntsen
Biogeosciences, 21, 3789–3817, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-3789-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-3789-2024, 2024
Short summary
Soil carbon-concentration and carbon-climate feedbacks in CMIP6 Earth system models
Rebecca M. Varney, Pierre Friedlingstein, Sarah E. Chadburn, Eleanor J. Burke, and Peter M. Cox
Biogeosciences, 21, 2759–2776, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-2759-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-2759-2024, 2024
Short summary
Monitoring the impact of forest changes on carbon uptake with solar-induced fluorescence measurements from GOME-2A and TROPOMI for an Australian and Chinese case study
Juliëtte C. S. Anema, Klaas Folkert Boersma, Piet Stammes, Gerbrand Koren, William Woodgate, Philipp Köhler, Christian Frankenberg, and Jacqui Stol
Biogeosciences, 21, 2297–2311, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-2297-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-2297-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Azzalini, A.: The R package sn: The Skew-Normal and Skew-t distributions (version 1.5-0), Università di Padova, Italia, 2017.
Bradley, R., Milne, R., Bell, J., Lilly, A., Jordan, C., and Higgins, A.: A soil carbon and land use database for the United Kingdom, Soil Use Manage., 21, 363–369, https://doi.org/10.1079/SUM2005351, 2005.
Cannell, M. G. R., Milne, R., Hargreaves, K. J., Brown, T. A. W., Cruickshank, M. M., Bradley, R. I., Spencer, T., Hope, D., Billett, M. F., Adger, W. N., and Subak, S.: National Inventories of Terrestrial Carbon Sources and Sinks: The U.K. Experience, Climatic Change, 42, 505–530, https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1005425807434, 1999.
Dainese, M., Isaac, N. J. B., Powney, G. D., Bommarco, R., Öckinger, E., Kuussaari, M., Pöyry, J., Benton, T. G., Gabriel, D., Hodgson, J. A., Kunin, W. E., Lindborg, R., Sait, S. M., and Marini, L.: Landscape simplification weakens the association between terrestrial producer and consumer diversity in Europe, Glob. Change Biol., 23, 3040–3051, https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13601, 2017.
Download
Short summary
We present a new method for estimating land-use change using a Bayesian data assimilation approach. This allows us to constrain estimates of gross land-use change with reliable national-scale census data whilst retaining the information available from several other sources. This includes detailed spatial data; further data sources, such as new satellites, could easily be added in future. Uncertainty is propagated appropriately into the output.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint