Articles | Volume 18, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-2627-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-2627-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
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26 Apr 2021
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 26 Apr 2021
| 26 Apr 2021
Effects of Earth system feedbacks on the potential mitigation of large-scale tropical forest restoration
Department of Geography, University College London, Gower Street, WC1E 6BT London, UK
Department of Earth Sciences, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
Chris Brierley
Department of Geography, University College London, Gower Street, WC1E 6BT London, UK
Simon L. Lewis
Department of Geography, University College London, Gower Street, WC1E 6BT London, UK
School of Geography, University of Leeds, LS2 9JT Leeds, UK
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Tom Keel, Chris Brierley, and Tamsin Edwards
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We describe the way that our group have chosen to perform our recent analyses of the Palaeoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project ensemble simulations. We document the approach used to obtain and curate the simulations, process those outputs via the Climate Variability Diagnostics Package, and then continue through to compute ensemble-wide statistics and create figures. We also provide interim data from all steps, the codes used and the ability for users to perform their own analyses.
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Instrumental temperature records are fundamental to climate science. There are spatial gaps in the distribution of these measurements across the globe. This lack of spatial coverage introduces coverage error. In this research, a methodology is developed and used to quantify the coverage errors. It results in a data product that, for the first time, provides a full description of both the spatial coverage uncertainties along with the uncertainties in the modeling of these spatial gaps.
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Short summary
Estimates of large-scale tree planting and forest restoration as a carbon sequestration tool typically miss a crucial aspect: the Earth system response to the increased land carbon sink from new vegetation. We assess the impact of tropical forest restoration using an Earth system model under a scenario that limits warming to 2 °C. Almost two-thirds of the carbon impact of forest restoration is offset by negative carbon cycle feedbacks, suggesting a more modest benefit than in previous studies.
Estimates of large-scale tree planting and forest restoration as a carbon sequestration tool...
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