Articles | Volume 21, issue 1
Research article
17 Jan 2024
Research article |  | 17 Jan 2024

Uncertainty in the evolution of northwestern North Atlantic circulation leads to diverging biogeochemical projections

Krysten Rutherford, Katja Fennel, Lina Garcia Suarez, and Jasmin G. John

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Cited articles

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Anav, A., Friedlingstein, P., Kidston, M., Bopp, L., Ciais, P., Cox, P., Jones, C., Jung, M., Myneni, R., and Zhu, Z.: Evaluating the land and ocean components of the global carbon cycle in the CMIP5 Earth System Models, J. Climate, 26, 6801–6841,, 2013. 
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Short summary
We downscaled two mid-century (~2075) ocean model projections to a high-resolution regional ocean model of the northwest North Atlantic (NA) shelf. In one projection, the NA shelf break current practically disappears; in the other it remains almost unchanged. This leads to a wide range of possible future shelf properties. More accurate projections of coastal circulation features would narrow the range of possible outcomes of biogeochemical projections for shelf regions.
Final-revised paper