Articles | Volume 22, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-2499-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-2499-2025
Research article
 | 
03 Jun 2025
Research article |  | 03 Jun 2025

Measuring and modeling waterlogging tolerance to predict the future for threatened lowland ash forests

Eric J. Gustafson, Dustin R. Bronson, Marcella A. Windmuller-Campione, Robert A. Slesak, and Deahn M. Donner

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Cited articles

Aber, J. D., Ollinger, S. V., Federer, C. A., Reich, P. B., Goulden, M. L., Kicklighter, D. W., Melillo, J. M., and Lathrop Jr., R. G.: Predicting the effects of climate change on water yield and forest production in the northeastern United States, Clim. Res., 5, 207–222, 1995. 
Anulewicz, A. C., Mccullough, D. G., Cappaert, D. L., and Poland, T. M.: Host range of the emerald ash borer (Agrilus planipennis Fairmaire) (Coleoptera: Buprestidae) in North America: results of multiple-choice field experiments, Environ. Ent., 37, 230–241, 2014. 
Benedict, M. A. and Frelich, L. E.: Site factors affecting black ash ring growth in northern Minnesota, Forest Ecol. Manag., 255, 3489–3493, 2008. 
Cappaert, D., McCullough, D. G., Poland, T. M., and Siegert, N. W.: Emerald ash borer in North America: a research and regulatory challenge, Am. Entomol., 51, 152–165, 2005. 
Constanza, K. K., Livingston, W. H., Kashian, D. M., Slesak, R. A., Tardif, J. C., Dech, J. P., Diamond, A. K., Daigle, J. J., Ranco, D. J., Neptune, J. S., and Benedict, L.: The precarious state of a cultural keystone species: tribal and biological assessments of the role and future of black ash, J. Forest, 115, 435–446, 2017. 
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Short summary
Black ash forests provide many ecological and tribal cultural benefits but may soon be killed by invasive insects. Black ash trees maintain forests on very wet sites by removing enough water to allow other species to survive. We combined results from physical experiments and a simulation model to project the ecological outcome of strategies to replace ash with species not killed by the insect. We found that this should work if ways can be found to ensure that planted trees survive to maturity.
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