Articles | Volume 21, issue 21
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4739-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4739-2024
Research article
 | 
05 Nov 2024
Research article |  | 05 Nov 2024

Projected changes in forest fire season, the number of fires, and burnt area in Fennoscandia by 2100

Outi Kinnunen, Leif Backman, Juha Aalto, Tuula Aalto, and Tiina Markkanen

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Cited articles

Aakala, T., Pasanen, L., Helama, S., Vakkari, V., Drobyshev, I., Seppä, H., Kuuluvainen, T., Stivrins, N., Wallenius, T., Vasander, H., and Holmström, L.: Multiscale variation in drought controlled historical forest fire activity in the boreal forests of eastern Fennoscandia, Ecol. Monogr., 88, 74–91, https://doi.org/10.1002/ecm.1276, 2018. a, b
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Cecil, D. J.: LIS/OTD 0.5 Degree High Resolution Monthly Climatology (HRMC) [2.3.2015, data set], NASA Global Hydrology Resource Center DAAC, Huntsville, Alabama, USA, https://ghrc.nsstc.nasa.gov/hydro/details/lohrmc NASA (last access: 1 December 2023), Global Hydrology Resource Center, https://doi.org/10.5067/LIS/LIS-OTD/DATA303, 2016. a
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Short summary
Climate change is expected to increase the risk of forest fires. Ecosystem process model simulations are used to project changes in fire occurrence in Fennoscandia under six climate projections. The findings suggest a longer fire season, more fires, and an increase in burnt area towards the end of the century.
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