Journal cover Journal topic
Biogeosciences An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
Journal topic
BG | Articles | Volume 17, issue 4
Biogeosciences, 17, 1199–1212, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-1199-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Biogeosciences, 17, 1199–1212, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-1199-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 03 Mar 2020

Research article | 03 Mar 2020

Simulation of factors affecting Emiliania huxleyi blooms in Arctic and sub-Arctic seas by CMIP5 climate models: model validation and selection

Natalia Gnatiuk et al.

Related authors

Evaluation of regional climate models ALARO-0 and REMO2015 at 0.22° resolution over the CORDEX Central Asia domain
Sara Top, Lola Kotova, Lesley De Cruz, Svetlana Aniskevich, Leonid Bobylev, Rozemien De Troch, Natalia Gnatiuk, Anne Gobin, Rafiq Hamdi, Arne Kriegsmann, Armelle Reca Remedio, Abdulla Sakalli, Hans Van De Vyver, Bert Van Schaeybroeck, Viesturs Zandersons, Philippe De Maeyer, Piet Termonia, and Steven Caluwaerts
Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2019-368,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2019-368, 2020
Revised manuscript under review for GMD
Short summary

Related subject area

Earth System Science/Response to Global Change: Climate Change
Physical and biogeochemical impacts of RCP8.5 scenario in the Peru upwelling system
Vincent Echevin, Manon Gévaudan, Dante Espinoza-Morriberón, Jorge Tam, Olivier Aumont, Dimitri Gutierrez, and François Colas
Biogeosciences, 17, 3317–3341, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-3317-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-3317-2020, 2020
Short summary
Is there warming in the pipeline? A multi-model analysis of the Zero Emissions Commitment from CO2
Andrew H. MacDougall, Thomas L. Frölicher, Chris D. Jones, Joeri Rogelj, H. Damon Matthews, Kirsten Zickfeld, Vivek K. Arora, Noah J. Barrett, Victor Brovkin, Friedrich A. Burger, Micheal Eby, Alexey V. Eliseev, Tomohiro Hajima, Philip B. Holden, Aurich Jeltsch-Thömmes, Charles Koven, Nadine Mengis, Laurie Menviel, Martine Michou, Igor I. Mokhov, Akira Oka, Jörg Schwinger, Roland Séférian, Gary Shaffer, Andrei Sokolov, Kaoru Tachiiri, Jerry Tjiputra, Andrew Wiltshire, and Tilo Ziehn
Biogeosciences, 17, 2987–3016, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-2987-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-2987-2020, 2020
Short summary
Foraminiferal holobiont thermal tolerance under future warming – roommate problems or successful collaboration?
Doron Pinko, Sigal Abramovich, and Danna Titelboim
Biogeosciences, 17, 2341–2348, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-2341-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-2341-2020, 2020
Short summary
Impacts of enhanced weathering on biomass production for negative emission technologies and soil hydrology
Wagner de Oliveira Garcia, Thorben Amann, Jens Hartmann, Kristine Karstens, Alexander Popp, Lena R. Boysen, Pete Smith, and Daniel Goll
Biogeosciences, 17, 2107–2133, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-2107-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-2107-2020, 2020
Short summary
Potential predictability of marine ecosystem drivers
Thomas L. Frölicher, Luca Ramseyer, Christoph C. Raible, Keith B. Rodgers, and John Dunne
Biogeosciences, 17, 2061–2083, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-2061-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-2061-2020, 2020
Short summary

Cited articles

Agosta, C., Fettweis, X., and Datta, R.: Evaluation of the CMIP5 models in the aim of regional modelling of the Antarctic surface mass balance, The Cryosphere, 9, 2311–2321, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-9-2311-2015, 2015. 
Almazroui, M., Nazrul Islam, M., Saeed, S., Alkhalaf, A. K., and Dambul, R.: Assessment of Uncertainties in Projected Temperature and Precipitation over the Arabian Peninsula Using Three Categories of Cmip5 Multimodel Ensembles, Earth Syst. Environ., 1, 23, https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-017-0027-5, 2017. 
Balch, W. M., Drapeau, D. T., and Bowler, B. C.: Step-changes in the physical, chemical and biological characteristics of the Gulf of Maine, as documented by the GNATS time series, Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser., 450, 11–35, https://doi.org/10.3354/meps09555, 2012. 
Balch, W. M., Bates, N. R., Lam, P. J., Twining, B. S., Rosengard, S. Z., Bowler, B. C., Drapeau, D. T., Garley, R., Lubelczyk, L. C., Mitchell, C., and Rauschenberg, S.: Factors regulating the Great Calcite Belt in the Southern Ocean and its biogeochemical significance, Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 30, 1124–1144, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GB005414, 2016. 
Brown, C. W. and Yoder, J. A.: Coccolithophorid blooms in the global ocean, J. Geophys. Res., 99, 7467, https://doi.org/10.1029/93JC02156, 1994. 
Publications Copernicus
Download
Short summary
We analysed the ability of 34 climate models to reproduce main factors affecting the coccolithophore Emiliania huxleyi blooms in six Arctic and sub-Arctic seas. Furthermore, we proposed a procedure of ranking and selecting these models based on the model’s skill in reproducing 10 important oceanographic, meteorological, and biochemical variables in comparison with observation data and demonstrated that the proposed methodology shows a better result than commonly used all-model averaging.
We analysed the ability of 34 climate models to reproduce main factors affecting the...
Citation
Final-revised paper
Preprint