Articles | Volume 20, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-2425-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-2425-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
27 Jun 2023
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 27 Jun 2023
| 27 Jun 2023
Impact of deoxygenation and warming on global marine species in the 21st century
Anne L. Morée
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of
Bern, Bern, 3012, Switzerland
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern,
3012, Switzerland
Tayler M. Clarke
Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries, The University of British
Columbia, Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z4, Canada
William W. L. Cheung
Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries, The University of British
Columbia, Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z4, Canada
Thomas L. Frölicher
Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of
Bern, Bern, 3012, Switzerland
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern,
3012, Switzerland
Related authors
Anne L. Morée, Fabrice Lacroix, William W. L. Cheung, and Thomas L. Frölicher
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3090, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3090, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Using novel Earth system model simulations and applying the Aerobic Growth Index, we show that only about half of the habitat loss for marine species is realized when temperature stabilization is initially reached. The maximum habitat loss happens over a century after peak warming in an overshoot scenario peaking at 2 °C before stabilizing at 1.5 °C. We also emphasize that species adaptation may play a key role in mitigating the long-term impacts of temperature stabilization and overshoot.
Christoph Heinze, Thorsten Blenckner, Peter Brown, Friederike Fröb, Anne Morée, Adrian L. New, Cara Nissen, Stefanie Rynders, Isabel Seguro, Yevgeny Aksenov, Yuri Artioli, Timothée Bourgeois, Friedrich Burger, Jonathan Buzan, B. B. Cael, Veli Çağlar Yumruktepe, Melissa Chierici, Christopher Danek, Ulf Dieckmann, Agneta Fransson, Thomas Frölicher, Giovanni Galli, Marion Gehlen, Aridane G. González, Melchor Gonzalez-Davila, Nicolas Gruber, Örjan Gustafsson, Judith Hauck, Mikko Heino, Stephanie Henson, Jenny Hieronymus, I. Emma Huertas, Fatma Jebri, Aurich Jeltsch-Thömmes, Fortunat Joos, Jaideep Joshi, Stephen Kelly, Nandini Menon, Precious Mongwe, Laurent Oziel, Sólveig Ólafsdottir, Julien Palmieri, Fiz F. Pérez, Rajamohanan Pillai Ranith, Juliano Ramanantsoa, Tilla Roy, Dagmara Rusiecka, J. Magdalena Santana Casiano, Yeray Santana-Falcón, Jörg Schwinger, Roland Séférian, Miriam Seifert, Anna Shchiptsova, Bablu Sinha, Christopher Somes, Reiner Steinfeldt, Dandan Tao, Jerry Tjiputra, Adam Ulfsbo, Christoph Völker, Tsuyoshi Wakamatsu, and Ying Ye
Biogeosciences Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-2023-182, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-2023-182, 2023
Preprint under review for BG
Short summary
Short summary
For assessing the consequences of human-induced climate change for the marine realm, it is necessary to not only look at gradual changes but also at abrupt changes of environmental conditions. We summarise abrupt changes in ocean warming, acidification, and oxygen concentration as the key environmental factors for ecosystems. Taking these abrupt changes into account requires greenhouse gas emissions to be reduced to a larger extent than previously thought to limit respective damage.
Anne L. Morée, Jörg Schwinger, Ulysses S. Ninnemann, Aurich Jeltsch-Thömmes, Ingo Bethke, and Christoph Heinze
Clim. Past, 17, 753–774, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-753-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-753-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
This modeling study of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, ~ 21 000 years ago) ocean explores the biological and physical changes in the ocean needed to satisfy marine proxy records, with a focus on the carbon isotope 13C. We estimate that the LGM ocean may have been up to twice as efficient at sequestering carbon and nutrients at depth as compared to preindustrial times. Our work shows that both circulation and biogeochemical changes must have occurred between the LGM and preindustrial times.
Anne L. Morée and Jörg Schwinger
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 12, 2971–2985, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-2971-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-2971-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
This dataset consists of eight variables needed in ocean modelling and is made to support modelers of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM; 21 000 years ago) ocean. The LGM is a time of specific interest for climate researchers. The data are based on the results of state-of-the-art climate models and are the best available estimate of these variables for the LGM. The dataset shows clear spatial patterns but large uncertainties and is presented in a way that facilitates applications in any ocean model.
Jerry F. Tjiputra, Jörg Schwinger, Mats Bentsen, Anne L. Morée, Shuang Gao, Ingo Bethke, Christoph Heinze, Nadine Goris, Alok Gupta, Yan-Chun He, Dirk Olivié, Øyvind Seland, and Michael Schulz
Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 2393–2431, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-2393-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-2393-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Ocean biogeochemistry plays an important role in determining the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration. Earth system models, which are regularly used to study and project future climate change, generally include an ocean biogeochemistry component. Prior to their application, such models are rigorously validated against real-world observations. In this study, we evaluate the ability of the ocean biogeochemistry in the Norwegian Earth System Model version 2 to simulate various datasets.
Anne L. Morée, Jörg Schwinger, and Christoph Heinze
Biogeosciences, 15, 7205–7223, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-7205-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-7205-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
Changes in the distribution of the carbon isotope 13C can be used to study the climate system if the governing processes (ocean circulation and biogeochemistry) are understood. We show the Southern Ocean importance for the global 13C distribution and that changes in 13C can be strongly influenced by biogeochemistry. Interpretation of 13C as a proxy for climate signals needs to take into account the effects of changes in biogeochemistry in addition to changes in ocean circulation.
Colin G. Jones, Fanny Adloff, Ben B. B. Booth, Peter M. Cox, Veronika Eyring, Pierre Friedlingstein, Katja Frieler, Helene T. Hewitt, Hazel A. Jeffery, Sylvie Joussaume, Torben Koenigk, Bryan N. Lawrence, Eleanor O'Rourke, Malcolm J. Roberts, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Samuel Somot, Pier Luigi Vidale, Detlef van Vuuren, Mario Acosta, Mats Bentsen, Raffaele Bernardello, Richard Betts, Ed Blockley, Julien Boé, Tom Bracegirdle, Pascale Braconnot, Victor Brovkin, Carlo Buontempo, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Markus Donat, Italo Epicoco, Pete Falloon, Sandro Fiore, Thomas Frölicher, Neven S. Fučkar, Matthew J. Gidden, Helge F. Goessling, Rune Grand Graversen, Silvio Gualdi, José M. Gutiérrez, Tatiana Ilyina, Daniela Jacob, Chris D. Jones, Martin Juckes, Elizabeth Kendon, Erik Kjellström, Reto Knutti, Jason Lowe, Matthew Mizielinski, Paola Nassisi, Michael Obersteiner, Pierre Regnier, Romain Roehrig, David Salas y Mélia, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Michael Schulz, Enrico Scoccimarro, Laurent Terray, Hannes Thiemann, Richard A. Wood, Shuting Yang, and Sönke Zaehle
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1319–1351, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We propose a number of priority areas for the international climate research community to address over the coming decade. Advances in these areas will both increase our understanding of past and future Earth system change, including the societal and environmental impacts of this change, and deliver significantly improved scientific support to international climate policy, such as future IPCC assessments and the UNFCCC Global Stocktake.
Anne L. Morée, Fabrice Lacroix, William W. L. Cheung, and Thomas L. Frölicher
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3090, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3090, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Using novel Earth system model simulations and applying the Aerobic Growth Index, we show that only about half of the habitat loss for marine species is realized when temperature stabilization is initially reached. The maximum habitat loss happens over a century after peak warming in an overshoot scenario peaking at 2 °C before stabilizing at 1.5 °C. We also emphasize that species adaptation may play a key role in mitigating the long-term impacts of temperature stabilization and overshoot.
Timothée Bourgeois, Olivier Torres, Friederike Fröb, Aurich Jeltsch-Thömmes, Giang T. Tran, Jörg Schwinger, Thomas L. Frölicher, Jean Negrel, David Keller, Andreas Oschlies, Laurent Bopp, and Fortunat Joos
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2768, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2768, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions significantly impact ocean ecosystems through climate change and acidification, leading to either progressive or abrupt changes. This study maps the crossing of physical and ecological limits for various ocean impact metrics under three emission scenarios. Using Earth system models, we identify when these limits are exceeded, highlighting the urgent need for ambitious climate action to safeguard the world's oceans and ecosystems.
Tianfei Xue, Jens Terhaar, A. E. Friederike Prowe, Thomas L. Frölicher, Andreas Oschlies, and Ivy Frenger
Biogeosciences, 21, 2473–2491, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-2473-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-2473-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Phytoplankton play a crucial role in marine ecosystems. However, climate change's impact on phytoplankton biomass remains uncertain, particularly in the Southern Ocean. In this region, phytoplankton biomass within the water column is likely to remain stable in response to climate change, as supported by models. This stability arises from a shallower mixed layer, favoring phytoplankton growth but also increasing zooplankton grazing due to phytoplankton concentration near the surface.
Yona Silvy, Thomas L. Frölicher, Jens Terhaar, Fortunat Joos, Friedrich A. Burger, Fabrice Lacroix, Myles Allen, Raffaele Bernadello, Laurent Bopp, Victor Brovkin, Jonathan R. Buzan, Patricia Cadule, Martin Dix, John Dunne, Pierre Friedlingstein, Goran Georgievski, Tomohiro Hajima, Stuart Jenkins, Michio Kawamiya, Nancy Y. Kiang, Vladimir Lapin, Donghyun Lee, Paul Lerner, Nadine Mengis, Estela A. Monteiro, David Paynter, Glen P. Peters, Anastasia Romanou, Jörg Schwinger, Sarah Sparrow, Eric Stofferahn, Jerry Tjiputra, Etienne Tourigny, and Tilo Ziehn
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-488, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-488, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We apply the Adaptive Emission Reduction Approach with Earth System Models to provide simulations in which all ESMs converge at 1.5 °C and 2 °C warming levels. These simulations provide compatible emission pathways for a given warming level, uncovering uncertainty ranges previously missing in the CMIP scenarios. This new type of target-based emission-driven simulations offers a more coherent assessment across ESMs for studying both the carbon cycle and impacts under climate stabilization.
Christoph Heinze, Thorsten Blenckner, Peter Brown, Friederike Fröb, Anne Morée, Adrian L. New, Cara Nissen, Stefanie Rynders, Isabel Seguro, Yevgeny Aksenov, Yuri Artioli, Timothée Bourgeois, Friedrich Burger, Jonathan Buzan, B. B. Cael, Veli Çağlar Yumruktepe, Melissa Chierici, Christopher Danek, Ulf Dieckmann, Agneta Fransson, Thomas Frölicher, Giovanni Galli, Marion Gehlen, Aridane G. González, Melchor Gonzalez-Davila, Nicolas Gruber, Örjan Gustafsson, Judith Hauck, Mikko Heino, Stephanie Henson, Jenny Hieronymus, I. Emma Huertas, Fatma Jebri, Aurich Jeltsch-Thömmes, Fortunat Joos, Jaideep Joshi, Stephen Kelly, Nandini Menon, Precious Mongwe, Laurent Oziel, Sólveig Ólafsdottir, Julien Palmieri, Fiz F. Pérez, Rajamohanan Pillai Ranith, Juliano Ramanantsoa, Tilla Roy, Dagmara Rusiecka, J. Magdalena Santana Casiano, Yeray Santana-Falcón, Jörg Schwinger, Roland Séférian, Miriam Seifert, Anna Shchiptsova, Bablu Sinha, Christopher Somes, Reiner Steinfeldt, Dandan Tao, Jerry Tjiputra, Adam Ulfsbo, Christoph Völker, Tsuyoshi Wakamatsu, and Ying Ye
Biogeosciences Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-2023-182, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-2023-182, 2023
Preprint under review for BG
Short summary
Short summary
For assessing the consequences of human-induced climate change for the marine realm, it is necessary to not only look at gradual changes but also at abrupt changes of environmental conditions. We summarise abrupt changes in ocean warming, acidification, and oxygen concentration as the key environmental factors for ecosystems. Taking these abrupt changes into account requires greenhouse gas emissions to be reduced to a larger extent than previously thought to limit respective damage.
Natacha Le Grix, Jakob Zscheischler, Keith B. Rodgers, Ryohei Yamaguchi, and Thomas L. Frölicher
Biogeosciences, 19, 5807–5835, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-5807-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-5807-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Compound events threaten marine ecosystems. Here, we investigate the potentially harmful combination of marine heatwaves with low phytoplankton productivity. Using satellite-based observations, we show that these compound events are frequent in the low latitudes. We then investigate the drivers of these compound events using Earth system models. The models share similar drivers in the low latitudes but disagree in the high latitudes due to divergent factors limiting phytoplankton production.
Jens Terhaar, Thomas L. Frölicher, and Fortunat Joos
Biogeosciences, 19, 4431–4457, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-4431-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-4431-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Estimates of the ocean sink of anthropogenic carbon vary across various approaches. We show that the global ocean carbon sink can be estimated by three parameters, two of which approximate the ocean ventilation in the Southern Ocean and the North Atlantic, and one of which approximates the chemical capacity of the ocean to take up carbon. With observations of these parameters, we estimate that the global ocean carbon sink is 10 % larger than previously assumed, and we cut uncertainties in half.
Anne L. Morée, Jörg Schwinger, Ulysses S. Ninnemann, Aurich Jeltsch-Thömmes, Ingo Bethke, and Christoph Heinze
Clim. Past, 17, 753–774, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-753-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-753-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
This modeling study of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, ~ 21 000 years ago) ocean explores the biological and physical changes in the ocean needed to satisfy marine proxy records, with a focus on the carbon isotope 13C. We estimate that the LGM ocean may have been up to twice as efficient at sequestering carbon and nutrients at depth as compared to preindustrial times. Our work shows that both circulation and biogeochemical changes must have occurred between the LGM and preindustrial times.
Anne L. Morée and Jörg Schwinger
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 12, 2971–2985, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-2971-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-2971-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
This dataset consists of eight variables needed in ocean modelling and is made to support modelers of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM; 21 000 years ago) ocean. The LGM is a time of specific interest for climate researchers. The data are based on the results of state-of-the-art climate models and are the best available estimate of these variables for the LGM. The dataset shows clear spatial patterns but large uncertainties and is presented in a way that facilitates applications in any ocean model.
Jerry F. Tjiputra, Jörg Schwinger, Mats Bentsen, Anne L. Morée, Shuang Gao, Ingo Bethke, Christoph Heinze, Nadine Goris, Alok Gupta, Yan-Chun He, Dirk Olivié, Øyvind Seland, and Michael Schulz
Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 2393–2431, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-2393-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-2393-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Ocean biogeochemistry plays an important role in determining the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration. Earth system models, which are regularly used to study and project future climate change, generally include an ocean biogeochemistry component. Prior to their application, such models are rigorously validated against real-world observations. In this study, we evaluate the ability of the ocean biogeochemistry in the Norwegian Earth System Model version 2 to simulate various datasets.
Anne L. Morée, Jörg Schwinger, and Christoph Heinze
Biogeosciences, 15, 7205–7223, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-7205-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-7205-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
Changes in the distribution of the carbon isotope 13C can be used to study the climate system if the governing processes (ocean circulation and biogeochemistry) are understood. We show the Southern Ocean importance for the global 13C distribution and that changes in 13C can be strongly influenced by biogeochemistry. Interpretation of 13C as a proxy for climate signals needs to take into account the effects of changes in biogeochemistry in addition to changes in ocean circulation.
Related subject area
Biodiversity and Ecosystem Function: Marine
Multifactorial effects of warming, low irradiance, and low salinity on Arctic kelps
Early life stages of fish under ocean alkalinity enhancement in coastal plankton communities
Planktonic foraminifera assemblage composition and flux dynamics inferred from an annual sediment trap record in the central Mediterranean Sea
Reefal ostracod assemblages from the Zanzibar Archipelago (Tanzania)
Composite calcite and opal test in Foraminifera (Rhizaria)
Influence of oxygen minimum zone on macrobenthic community structure in the northern Benguela Upwelling System: a macro-nematode perspective
Phytoplankton adaptation to steady or changing environments affects marine ecosystem functioning
Simulated terrestrial runoff shifts the metabolic balance of a coastal Mediterranean plankton community towards heterotrophy
Contrasting carbon cycling in the benthic food webs between a river-fed, high-energy canyon and an upper continental slope
A critical trade-off between nitrogen quota and growth allows Coccolithus braarudii life cycle phases to exploit varying environment
Structural complexity and benthic metabolism: resolving the links between carbon cycling and biodiversity in restored seagrass meadows
Building your own mountain: the effects, limits, and drawbacks of cold-water coral ecosystem engineering
Phytoplankton response to increased nickel in the context of ocean alkalinity enhancement
Year-long benthic measurements of environmental conditions indicate high sponge biomass is related to strong bottom currents over the Northern Labrador shelf
Diversity and density relationships between lebensspuren and tracemaking organisms: a study case from abyssal northwest Pacific
Technical note: An autonomous flow-through salinity and temperature perturbation mesocosm system for multi-stressor experiments
Reviews and syntheses: The clam before the storm – a meta-analysis showing the effect of combined climate change stressors on bivalves
A step towards measuring connectivity in the deep sea: elemental fingerprints of mollusk larval shells discriminate hydrothermal vent sites
Seasonal foraging behavior of Weddell seals relation to oceanographic environmental conditions in the Ross Sea, Antarctica
Spawner weight and ocean temperature drive Allee effect dynamics in Atlantic cod, Gadus morhua: inherent and emergent density regulation
Bacterioplankton dark CO2 fixation in oligotrophic waters
The bottom mixed layer depth as an indicator of subsurface Chlorophyll a distribution
Ideas and perspectives: The fluctuating nature of oxygen shapes the ecology of aquatic habitats and their biogeochemical cycles – the aquatic oxyscape
Ecological divergence of a mesocosm in an eastern boundary upwelling system assessed with multi-marker environmental DNA metabarcoding
Unique benthic foraminiferal communities (stained) in diverse environments of sub-Antarctic fjords, South Georgia
Upwelled plankton community modulates surface bloom succession and nutrient availability in a natural plankton assemblage
First phytoplankton community assessment of the Kong Håkon VII Hav, Southern Ocean, during austral autumn
Early life stages of a Mediterranean coral are vulnerable to ocean warming and acidification
Mediterranean seagrasses as carbon sinks: methodological and regional differences
Contrasting vertical distributions of recent planktic foraminifera off Indonesia during the southeast monsoon: implications for paleoceanographic reconstructions
The onset of the spring phytoplankton bloom in the coastal North Sea supports the Disturbance Recovery Hypothesis
Species richness and functional attributes of fish assemblages across a large-scale salinity gradient in shallow coastal areas
Modeling the growth and sporulation dynamics of the macroalga Ulva in mixed-age populations in cultivation and the formation of green tides
Spatial changes in community composition and food web structure of mesozooplankton across the Adriatic basin (Mediterranean Sea)
Predicting mangrove forest dynamics across a soil salinity gradient using an individual-based vegetation model linked with plant hydraulics
Will daytime community calcification reflect reef accretion on future, degraded coral reefs?
Modeling polar marine ecosystem functions guided by bacterial physiological and taxonomic traits
Quantifying functional consequences of habitat degradation on a Caribbean coral reef
Enhanced chlorophyll-a concentration in the wake of Sable Island, eastern Canada, revealed by two decades of satellite observations: a response to grey seal population dynamics?
Population dynamics and reproduction strategies of planktonic foraminifera in the open ocean
The Bouraké semi-enclosed lagoon (New Caledonia) – a natural laboratory to study the lifelong adaptation of a coral reef ecosystem to extreme environmental conditions
Atypical, high-diversity assemblages of foraminifera in a mangrove estuary in northern Brazil
Permanent ectoplasmic structures in deep-sea Cibicides and Cibicidoides taxa – long-term observations at in situ pressure
Ideas and perspectives: Ushering the Indian Ocean into the UN Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development (UNDOSSD) through marine ecosystem research and operational services – an early career's take
Persistent effects of sand extraction on habitats and associated benthic communities in the German Bight
Spatial patterns of ectoenzymatic kinetics in relation to biogeochemical properties in the Mediterranean Sea and the concentration of the fluorogenic substrate used
A 2-decade (1988–2009) record of diatom fluxes in the Mauritanian coastal upwelling: impact of low-frequency forcing and a two-step shift in the species composition
Review and syntheses: Impacts of turbidity flows on deep-sea benthic communities
Ideas and perspectives: When ocean acidification experiments are not the same, repeatability is not tested
The effect of the salinity, light regime and food source on carbon and nitrogen uptake in a benthic foraminifer
Anaïs Lebrun, Cale A. Miller, Marc Meynadier, Steeve Comeau, Pierre Urrutti, Samir Alliouane, Robert Schlegel, Jean-Pierre Gattuso, and Frédéric Gazeau
Biogeosciences, 21, 4605–4620, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4605-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4605-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We tested the effects of warming, low salinity, and low irradiance on Arctic kelps. We show that growth rates were similar across species and treatments. Alaria esculenta is adapted to low-light conditions. Saccharina latissima exhibited nitrogen limitation, suggesting coastal erosion and permafrost thawing could be beneficial. Laminaria digitata did not respond to the treatments. Gene expression of Hedophyllum nigripes and S. latissima indicated acclimation to the experimental treatments.
Silvan Urs Goldenberg, Ulf Riebesell, Daniel Brüggemann, Gregor Börner, Michael Sswat, Arild Folkvord, Maria Couret, Synne Spjelkavik, Nicolás Sánchez, Cornelia Jaspers, and Marta Moyano
Biogeosciences, 21, 4521–4532, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4521-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4521-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE) is being evaluated as a carbon dioxide removal technology for climate change mitigation. With an experiment on species communities, we show that larval and juvenile fish can be resilient to the resulting perturbation of seawater. Fish may hence recruit successfully and continue to support fisheries' production in regions of OAE. Our findings help to establish an environmentally safe operating space for this ocean-based solution.
Thibauld M. Béjard, Andrés S. Rigual-Hernández, Javier P. Tarruella, José-Abel Flores, Anna Sanchez-Vidal, Irene Llamas-Cano, and Francisco J. Sierro
Biogeosciences, 21, 4051–4076, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4051-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4051-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The Mediterranean Sea is regarded as a climate change hotspot. Documenting the population of planktonic foraminifera is crucial. In the Sicily Channel, fluxes are higher during winter and positively linked with chlorophyll a concentration and cool temperatures. A comparison with other Mediterranean sites shows the transitional aspect of the studied zone. Finally, modern populations significantly differ from those in the sediment, highlighting a possible effect of environmental change.
Skye Yunshu Tian, Martin Langer, Moriaki Yasuhara, and Chih-Lin Wei
Biogeosciences, 21, 3523–3536, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-3523-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-3523-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Through the first large-scale study of meiobenthic ostracods from the diverse and productive reef ecosystem in the Zanzibar Archipelago, Tanzania, we found that the diversity and composition of ostracod assemblages as controlled by benthic habitats and human impacts were indicative of overall reef health, and we highlighted the usefulness of ostracods as a model proxy to monitor and understand the degradation of reef ecosystems from the coral-dominated phase to the algae-dominated phase.
Julien Richirt, Satoshi Okada, Yoshiyuki Ishitani, Katsuyuki Uematsu, Akihiro Tame, Kaya Oda, Noriyuki Isobe, Toyoho Ishimura, Masashi Tsuchiya, and Hidetaka Nomaki
Biogeosciences, 21, 3271–3288, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-3271-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-3271-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We report the first benthic foraminifera with a composite test (i.e. shell) made of opal, which coats the inner part of the calcitic layer. Using comprehensive techniques, we describe the morphology and the composition of this novel opal layer and provide evidence that the opal is precipitated by the foraminifera itself. We explore the potential precipitation process and function(s) of this composite test and further discuss the possible implications for palaeoceanographic reconstructions.
Said Mohamed Hashim, Beth Wangui Waweru, and Agnes Muthumbi
Biogeosciences, 21, 2995–3006, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-2995-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-2995-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The study investigates the impact of decreasing oxygen in the ocean on macrofaunal communities using the BUS as an example. It identifies distinct shifts in community composition and feeding guilds across oxygen zones, with nematodes dominating dysoxic areas. These findings underscore the complex responses of benthic organisms to oxygen gradients, crucial for understanding ecosystem dynamics in hypoxic environments and their implications for marine biodiversity and sustainability.
Isabell Hochfeld and Jana Hinners
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1246, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1246, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Ecosystem models disagree on future changes in marine ecosystem functioning. We suspect that the lack of phytoplankton adaptation represents a major uncertainty factor, given the key role that phytoplankton play in marine ecosystems. Using an evolutionary ecosystem model, we found that phytoplankton adaptation can notably change simulated ecosystem dynamics. Future models should include phytoplankton adaptation, otherwise they can systematically overestimate future ecosystem-level changes.
Tanguy Soulié, Francesca Vidussi, Justine Courboulès, Marie Heydon, Sébastien Mas, Florian Voron, Carolina Cantoni, Fabien Joux, and Behzad Mostajir
Biogeosciences, 21, 1887–1902, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-1887-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-1887-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Due to climate change, it is projected that extreme rainfall events, which bring terrestrial matter into coastal seas, will occur more frequently in the Mediterranean region. To test the effects of runoffs of terrestrial matter on plankton communities from Mediterranean coastal waters, an in situ mesocosm experiment was conducted. The simulated runoff affected key processes mediated by plankton, such as primary production and respiration, suggesting major consequences of such events.
Chueh-Chen Tung, Yu-Shih Lin, Jian-Xiang Liao, Tzu-Hsuan Tu, James T. Liu, Li-Hung Lin, Pei-Ling Wang, and Chih-Lin Wei
Biogeosciences, 21, 1729–1756, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-1729-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-1729-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This study contrasts seabed food webs between a river-fed, high-energy canyon and the nearby slope. We show higher organic carbon (OC) flows through the canyon than the slope. Bacteria dominated the canyon, while seabed fauna contributed more to the slope food web. Due to frequent perturbation, the canyon had a lower faunal stock and OC recycling. Only 4 % of the seabed OC flux enters the canyon food web, suggesting a significant role of the river-fed canyon in transporting OC to the deep sea.
Joost de Vries, Fanny Monteiro, Gerald Langer, Colin Brownlee, and Glen Wheeler
Biogeosciences, 21, 1707–1727, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-1707-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-1707-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Calcifying phytoplankton (coccolithophores) utilize a life cycle in which they can grow and divide into two different phases. These two phases (HET and HOL) vary in terms of their physiology and distributions, with many unknowns about what the key differences are. Using a combination of lab experiments and model simulations, we find that nutrient storage is a critical difference between the two phases and that this difference allows them to inhabit different nitrogen input regimes.
Theodor Kindeberg, Karl Michael Attard, Jana Hüller, Julia Müller, Cintia Organo Quintana, and Eduardo Infantes
Biogeosciences, 21, 1685–1705, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-1685-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-1685-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Seagrass meadows are hotspots for biodiversity and productivity, and planting seagrass is proposed as a tool for mitigating biodiversity loss and climate change. We assessed seagrass planted in different years and found that benthic oxygen and carbon fluxes increased as the seabed developed from bare sediments to a mature seagrass meadow. This increase was partly linked to the diversity of colonizing algae which increased the light-use efficiency of the seagrass meadow community.
Anna-Selma van der Kaaden, Sandra R. Maier, Siluo Chen, Laurence H. De Clippele, Evert de Froe, Theo Gerkema, Johan van de Koppel, Furu Mienis, Christian Mohn, Max Rietkerk, Karline Soetaert, and Dick van Oevelen
Biogeosciences, 21, 973–992, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-973-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-973-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Combining hydrodynamic simulations and annotated videos, we separated which hydrodynamic variables that determine reef cover are engineered by cold-water corals and which are not. Around coral mounds, hydrodynamic zones seem to create a typical reef zonation, restricting corals from moving deeper (the expected response to climate warming). But non-engineered downward velocities in winter (e.g. deep winter mixing) seem more important for coral reef growth than coral engineering.
Xiaoke Xin, Giulia Faucher, and Ulf Riebesell
Biogeosciences, 21, 761–772, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-761-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-761-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE) is a promising approach to remove CO2 by accelerating natural rock weathering. However, some of the alkaline substances contain trace metals which could be toxic to marine life. By exposing three representative phytoplankton species to Ni released from alkaline materials, we observed varying responses of phytoplankton to nickel concentrations, suggesting caution should be taken and toxic thresholds should be avoided in OAE with Ni-rich materials.
Evert de Froe, Igor Yashayaev, Christian Mohn, Johanne Vad, Furu Mienis, Gerard Duineveld, Ellen Kenchington, Erica Head, Steve Ross, Sabena Blackbird, George Wolff, Murray Roberts, Barry MacDonald, Graham Tulloch, and Dick van Oevelen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.31223/X58968, https://doi.org/10.31223/X58968, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Deep-sea sponge grounds are distributed globally and are considered hotspots of biological diversity and biogeochemical cycling. To date, little is known about the environmental constraints that control where deep-sea sponge grounds occur and what conditions favor high sponge biomass. Here, we characterize oceanographic conditions at two contrasting sponge grounds. Our results imply that sponges and associated fauna benefit from strong tidal currents and favorable regional ocean currents.
Olmo Miguez-Salas, Angelika Brandt, Henry Knauber, and Torben Riehl
Biogeosciences, 21, 641–655, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-641-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-641-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
In the deep sea, the interaction between benthic fauna (tracemakers) and substrate can be preserved as traces (i.e. lebensspuren), which are common features of seafloor landscapes, rendering them promising proxies for inferring biodiversity from marine images. No general correlation was observed between traces and benthic fauna. However, a local correlation was observed between specific stations depending on unknown tracemakers, tracemaker behaviour, and lebensspuren morphotypes.
Cale A. Miller, Pierre Urrutti, Jean-Pierre Gattuso, Steeve Comeau, Anaïs Lebrun, Samir Alliouane, Robert W. Schlegel, and Frédéric Gazeau
Biogeosciences, 21, 315–333, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-315-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-315-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This work describes an experimental system that can replicate and manipulate environmental conditions in marine or aquatic systems. Here, we show how the temperature and salinity of seawater delivered from a fjord is manipulated to experimental tanks on land. By constantly monitoring temperature and salinity in each tank via a computer program, the system continuously adjusts automated flow valves to ensure the seawater in each tank matches the targeted experimental conditions.
Rachel A. Kruft Welton, George Hoppit, Daniela N. Schmidt, James D. Witts, and Benjamin C. Moon
Biogeosciences, 21, 223–239, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-223-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-223-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We conducted a meta-analysis of known experimental literature examining how marine bivalve growth rates respond to climate change. Growth is usually negatively impacted by climate change. Bivalve eggs/larva are generally more vulnerable than either juveniles or adults. Available data on the bivalve response to climate stressors are biased towards early growth stages (commercially important in the Global North), and many families have only single experiments examining climate change impacts.
Vincent Mouchi, Christophe Pecheyran, Fanny Claverie, Cécile Cathalot, Marjolaine Matabos, Yoan Germain, Olivier Rouxel, Didier Jollivet, Thomas Broquet, and Thierry Comtet
Biogeosciences, 21, 145–160, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-145-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-145-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The impact of deep-sea mining will depend critically on the ability of larval dispersal of hydrothermal mollusks to connect and replenish natural populations. However, assessing connectivity is extremely challenging, especially in the deep sea. Here, we investigate the potential of using the chemical composition of larval shells to discriminate larval origins between multiple hydrothermal sites in the southwest Pacific. Our results confirm that this method can be applied with high accuracy.
Hyunjae Chung, Jikang Park, Mijin Park, Yejin Kim, Unyoung Chun, Sukyoung Yun, Won Sang Lee, Seung-Tae Yoon, and Won Young Lee
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2757, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2757, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Understanding how marine animals adapt to spatial and temporal shifts in oceanographic conditions is of utmost importance. In this paper, we investigated the influence of changes in seawater properties on the seasonal behavior of Weddell seals in the Ross Sea, Antarctica. Our findings could serve as a baseline and establish a foundational understanding for future research, particularly concerning the impact of marine environmental changes on the ecosystem of the Ross Sea Marine Protected Area.
Anna-Marie Winter, Nadezda Vasilyeva, and Artem Vladimirov
Biogeosciences, 20, 3683–3716, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-3683-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-3683-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
There is an increasing number of fish in poor state, and many do not recover, even when fishing pressure is ceased. An Allee effect can hinder population recovery because it suppresses the fish's productivity at low abundance. With a model fitted to 17 Atlantic cod stocks, we find that ocean warming and fishing can cause an Allee effect. If present, the Allee effect hinders fish recovery. This shows that Allee effects are dynamic, not uncommon, and calls for precautionary management measures.
Afrah Alothman, Daffne López-Sandoval, Carlos M. Duarte, and Susana Agustí
Biogeosciences, 20, 3613–3624, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-3613-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-3613-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
This study investigates bacterial dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) fixation in the Red Sea, an oligotrophic ecosystem, using stable-isotope labeling and spectroscopy. The research reveals that bacterial DIC fixation significantly contributes to total DIC fixation, in the surface and deep water. The study demonstrates that as primary production decreases, the role of bacterial DIC fixation increases, emphasizing its importance with photosynthesis in estimating oceanic carbon dioxide production.
Arianna Zampollo, Thomas Cornulier, Rory O'Hara Murray, Jacqueline Fiona Tweddle, James Dunning, and Beth E. Scott
Biogeosciences, 20, 3593–3611, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-3593-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-3593-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
This paper highlights the use of the bottom mixed layer depth (BMLD: depth between the end of the pycnocline and the mixed layer below) to investigate subsurface Chlorophyll a (a proxy of primary production) in temperate stratified shelf waters. The strict correlation between subsurface Chl a and BMLD becomes relevant in shelf-productive waters where multiple stressors (e.g. offshore infrastructure) will change the stratification--mixing balance and related carbon fluxes.
Marco Fusi, Sylvain Rigaud, Giovanna Guadagnin, Alberto Barausse, Ramona Marasco, Daniele Daffonchio, Julie Régis, Louison Huchet, Capucine Camin, Laura Pettit, Cristina Vina-Herbon, and Folco Giomi
Biogeosciences, 20, 3509–3521, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-3509-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-3509-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Oxygen availability in marine water and freshwater is very variable at daily and seasonal scales. The dynamic nature of oxygen fluctuations has important consequences for animal and microbe physiology and ecology, yet it is not fully understood. In this paper, we showed the heterogeneous nature of the aquatic oxygen landscape, which we defined here as the
oxyscape, and we addressed the importance of considering the oxyscape in the modelling and managing of aquatic ecosystems.
Markus A. Min, David M. Needham, Sebastian Sudek, Nathan Kobun Truelove, Kathleen J. Pitz, Gabriela M. Chavez, Camille Poirier, Bente Gardeler, Elisabeth von der Esch, Andrea Ludwig, Ulf Riebesell, Alexandra Z. Worden, and Francisco P. Chavez
Biogeosciences, 20, 1277–1298, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-1277-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-1277-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Emerging molecular methods provide new ways of understanding how marine communities respond to changes in ocean conditions. Here, environmental DNA was used to track the temporal evolution of biological communities in the Peruvian coastal upwelling system and in an adjacent enclosure where upwelling was simulated. We found that the two communities quickly diverged, with the open ocean being one found during upwelling and the enclosure evolving to one found under stratified conditions.
Wojciech Majewski, Witold Szczuciński, and Andrew J. Gooday
Biogeosciences, 20, 523–544, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-523-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-523-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
We studied foraminifera living in the fjords of South Georgia, a sub-Antarctic island sensitive to climate change. As conditions in water and on the seafloor vary, different associations of these microorganisms dominate far inside, in the middle, and near fjord openings. Assemblages in inner and middle parts of fjords are specific to South Georgia, but they may become widespread with anticipated warming. These results are important for interpretating fossil records and monitoring future change.
Allanah Joy Paul, Lennart Thomas Bach, Javier Arístegui, Elisabeth von der Esch, Nauzet Hernández-Hernández, Jonna Piiparinen, Laura Ramajo, Kristian Spilling, and Ulf Riebesell
Biogeosciences, 19, 5911–5926, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-5911-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-5911-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
We investigated how different deep water chemistry and biology modulate the response of surface phytoplankton communities to upwelling in the Peruvian coastal zone. Our results show that the most influential drivers were the ratio of inorganic nutrients (N : P) and the microbial community present in upwelling source water. These led to unexpected and variable development in the phytoplankton assemblage that could not be predicted by the amount of inorganic nutrients alone.
Hanna M. Kauko, Philipp Assmy, Ilka Peeken, Magdalena Różańska-Pluta, Józef M. Wiktor, Gunnar Bratbak, Asmita Singh, Thomas J. Ryan-Keogh, and Sebastien Moreau
Biogeosciences, 19, 5449–5482, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-5449-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-5449-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
This article studies phytoplankton (microscopic
plantsin the ocean capable of photosynthesis) in Kong Håkon VII Hav in the Southern Ocean. Different species play different roles in the ecosystem, and it is therefore important to assess the species composition. We observed that phytoplankton blooms in this area are formed by large diatoms with strong silica armors, which can lead to high silica (and sometimes carbon) export to depth and be important prey for krill.
Chloe Carbonne, Steeve Comeau, Phoebe T. W. Chan, Keyla Plichon, Jean-Pierre Gattuso, and Núria Teixidó
Biogeosciences, 19, 4767–4777, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-4767-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-4767-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
For the first time, our study highlights the synergistic effects of a 9-month warming and acidification combined stress on the early life stages of a Mediterranean azooxanthellate coral, Astroides calycularis. Our results predict a decrease in dispersion, settlement, post-settlement linear extention, budding and survival under future global change and that larvae and recruits of A. calycularis are stages of interest for this Mediterranean coral resistance, resilience and conservation.
Iris E. Hendriks, Anna Escolano-Moltó, Susana Flecha, Raquel Vaquer-Sunyer, Marlene Wesselmann, and Núria Marbà
Biogeosciences, 19, 4619–4637, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-4619-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-4619-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Seagrasses are marine plants with the capacity to act as carbon sinks due to their high primary productivity, using carbon for growth. This capacity can play a key role in climate change mitigation. We compiled and published data showing that two Mediterranean seagrass species have different metabolic rates, while the study method influences the rates of the measurements. Most communities act as carbon sinks, while the western basin might be more productive than the eastern Mediterranean.
Raúl Tapia, Sze Ling Ho, Hui-Yu Wang, Jeroen Groeneveld, and Mahyar Mohtadi
Biogeosciences, 19, 3185–3208, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-3185-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-3185-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
We report census counts of planktic foraminifera in depth-stratified plankton net samples off Indonesia. Our results show that the vertical distribution of foraminifera species routinely used in paleoceanographic reconstructions varies in hydrographically distinct regions, likely in response to food availability. Consequently, the thermal gradient based on mixed layer and thermocline dwellers also differs for these regions, suggesting potential implications for paleoceanographic reconstructions.
Ricardo González-Gil, Neil S. Banas, Eileen Bresnan, and Michael R. Heath
Biogeosciences, 19, 2417–2426, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-2417-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-2417-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
In oceanic waters, the accumulation of phytoplankton biomass in winter, when light still limits growth, is attributed to a decrease in grazing as the mixed layer deepens. However, in coastal areas, it is not clear whether winter biomass can accumulate without this deepening. Using 21 years of weekly data, we found that in the Scottish coastal North Sea, the seasonal increase in light availability triggers the accumulation of phytoplankton biomass in winter, when light limitation is strongest.
Birgit Koehler, Mårten Erlandsson, Martin Karlsson, and Lena Bergström
Biogeosciences, 19, 2295–2312, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-2295-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-2295-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Understanding species richness patterns remains a challenge for biodiversity management. We estimated fish species richness over a coastal salinity gradient (3–32) with a method that allowed comparing data from various sources. Species richness was 3-fold higher at high vs. low salinity, and salinity influenced species’ habitat preference, mobility and feeding type. If climate change causes upper-layer freshening of the Baltic Sea, further shifts along the identified patterns may be expected.
Uri Obolski, Thomas Wichard, Alvaro Israel, Alexander Golberg, and Alexander Liberzon
Biogeosciences, 19, 2263–2271, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-2263-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-2263-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
The algal genus Ulva plays a major role in coastal ecosystems worldwide and is a promising prospect as an seagriculture crop. A substantial hindrance to cultivating Ulva arises from sudden sporulation, leading to biomass loss. This process is not yet well understood. Here, we characterize the dynamics of Ulva growth, considering the potential impact of sporulation inhibitors, using a mathematical model. Our findings are an essential step towards understanding the dynamics of Ulva growth.
Emanuela Fanelli, Samuele Menicucci, Sara Malavolti, Andrea De Felice, and Iole Leonori
Biogeosciences, 19, 1833–1851, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-1833-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-1833-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Zooplankton play a key role in marine ecosystems, forming the base of the marine food web and a link between primary producers and higher-order consumers, such as fish. This aspect is crucial in the Adriatic basin, one of the most productive and overexploited areas of the Mediterranean Sea. A better understanding of community and food web structure and their response to water mass changes is essential under a global warming scenario, as zooplankton are sensitive to climate change.
Masaya Yoshikai, Takashi Nakamura, Rempei Suwa, Sahadev Sharma, Rene Rollon, Jun Yasuoka, Ryohei Egawa, and Kazuo Nadaoka
Biogeosciences, 19, 1813–1832, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-1813-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-1813-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
This study presents a new individual-based vegetation model to investigate salinity control on mangrove productivity. The model incorporates plant hydraulics and tree competition and predicts unique and complex patterns of mangrove forest structures that vary across soil salinity gradients. The presented model does not hold an empirical expression of salinity influence on productivity and thus may provide a better understanding of mangrove forest dynamics in future climate change.
Coulson A. Lantz, William Leggat, Jessica L. Bergman, Alexander Fordyce, Charlotte Page, Thomas Mesaglio, and Tracy D. Ainsworth
Biogeosciences, 19, 891–906, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-891-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-891-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Coral bleaching events continue to drive the degradation of coral reefs worldwide. In this study we measured rates of daytime coral reef community calcification and photosynthesis during a reef-wide bleaching event. Despite a measured decline in coral health across several taxa, there was no change in overall daytime community calcification and photosynthesis. These findings highlight potential limitations of these community-level metrics to reflect actual changes in coral health.
Hyewon Heather Kim, Jeff S. Bowman, Ya-Wei Luo, Hugh W. Ducklow, Oscar M. Schofield, Deborah K. Steinberg, and Scott C. Doney
Biogeosciences, 19, 117–136, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-117-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-117-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Heterotrophic marine bacteria are tiny organisms responsible for taking up organic matter in the ocean. Using a modeling approach, this study shows that characteristics (taxonomy and physiology) of bacteria are associated with a subset of ecological processes in the coastal West Antarctic Peninsula region, a system susceptible to global climate change. This study also suggests that bacteria will become more active, in particular large-sized cells, in response to changing climates in the region.
Alice E. Webb, Didier M. de Bakker, Karline Soetaert, Tamara da Costa, Steven M. A. C. van Heuven, Fleur C. van Duyl, Gert-Jan Reichart, and Lennart J. de Nooijer
Biogeosciences, 18, 6501–6516, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-6501-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-6501-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
The biogeochemical behaviour of shallow reef communities is quantified to better understand the impact of habitat degradation and species composition shifts on reef functioning. The reef communities investigated barely support reef functions that are usually ascribed to conventional coral reefs, and the overall biogeochemical behaviour is found to be similar regardless of substrate type. This suggests a decrease in functional diversity which may therefore limit services provided by this reef.
Emmanuel Devred, Andrea Hilborn, and Cornelia Elizabeth den Heyer
Biogeosciences, 18, 6115–6132, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-6115-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-6115-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
A theoretical model of grey seal seasonal abundance on Sable Island (SI) coupled with chlorophyll-a concentration [chl-a] measured by satellite revealed the impact of seal nitrogen fertilization on the surrounding waters of SI, Canada. The increase in seals from about 100 000 in 2003 to about 360 000 in 2018 during the breeding season is consistent with an increase in [chl-a] leeward of SI. The increase in seal abundance explains 8 % of the [chl-a] increase.
Julie Meilland, Michael Siccha, Maike Kaffenberger, Jelle Bijma, and Michal Kucera
Biogeosciences, 18, 5789–5809, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-5789-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-5789-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Planktonic foraminifera population dynamics has long been assumed to be controlled by synchronous reproduction and ontogenetic vertical migration (OVM). Due to contradictory observations, this concept became controversial. We here test it in the Atlantic ocean for four species of foraminifera representing the main clades. Our observations support the existence of synchronised reproduction and OVM but show that more than half of the population does not follow the canonical trajectory.
Federica Maggioni, Mireille Pujo-Pay, Jérome Aucan, Carlo Cerrano, Barbara Calcinai, Claude Payri, Francesca Benzoni, Yves Letourneur, and Riccardo Rodolfo-Metalpa
Biogeosciences, 18, 5117–5140, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-5117-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-5117-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Based on current experimental evidence, climate change will affect up to 90 % of coral reefs worldwide. The originality of this study arises from our recent discovery of an exceptional study site where environmental conditions (temperature, pH, and oxygen) are even worse than those forecasted for the future.
While these conditions are generally recognized as unfavorable for marine life, we found a rich and abundant coral reef thriving under such extreme environmental conditions.
Nisan Sariaslan and Martin R. Langer
Biogeosciences, 18, 4073–4090, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4073-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4073-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Analyses of foraminiferal assemblages from the Mamanguape mangrove estuary (northern Brazil) revealed highly diverse, species-rich, and structurally complex biotas. The atypical fauna resembles shallow-water offshore assemblages and are interpreted to be the result of highly saline ocean waters penetrating deep into the estuary. The findings contrast with previous studies, have implications for the fossil record, and provide novel perspectives for reconstructing mangrove environments.
Jutta E. Wollenburg, Jelle Bijma, Charlotte Cremer, Ulf Bickmeyer, and Zora Mila Colomba Zittier
Biogeosciences, 18, 3903–3915, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-3903-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-3903-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Cultured at in situ high-pressure conditions Cibicides and Cibicidoides taxa develop lasting ectoplasmic structures that cannot be retracted or resorbed. An ectoplasmic envelope surrounds their test and may protect the shell, e.g. versus carbonate aggressive bottom water conditions. Ectoplasmic roots likely anchor the specimens in areas of strong bottom water currents, trees enable them to elevate themselves above ground, and twigs stabilize and guide the retractable pseudopodial network.
Kumar Nimit
Biogeosciences, 18, 3631–3635, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-3631-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-3631-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
The Indian Ocean Rim hosts many of the underdeveloped and emerging economies that depend on ocean resources for the livelihood of millions. Operational ocean information services cater to the requirements of resource managers and end-users to efficiently harness resources, mitigate threats and ensure safety. This paper outlines existing tools and explores the ongoing research that has the potential to convert the findings into operational services in the near- to midterm.
Finn Mielck, Rune Michaelis, H. Christian Hass, Sarah Hertel, Caroline Ganal, and Werner Armonies
Biogeosciences, 18, 3565–3577, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-3565-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-3565-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Marine sand mining is becoming more and more important to nourish fragile coastlines that face global change. We investigated the largest sand extraction site in the German Bight. The study reveals that after more than 35 years of mining, the excavation pits are still detectable on the seafloor while the sediment composition has largely changed. The organic communities living in and on the seafloor were strongly decimated, and no recovery is observable towards previous conditions.
France Van Wambeke, Elvira Pulido, Philippe Catala, Julie Dinasquet, Kahina Djaoudi, Anja Engel, Marc Garel, Sophie Guasco, Barbara Marie, Sandra Nunige, Vincent Taillandier, Birthe Zäncker, and Christian Tamburini
Biogeosciences, 18, 2301–2323, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-2301-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-2301-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Michaelis–Menten kinetics were determined for alkaline phosphatase, aminopeptidase and β-glucosidase in the Mediterranean Sea. Although the ectoenzymatic-hydrolysis contribution to heterotrophic prokaryotic needs was high in terms of N, it was low in terms of C. This study points out the biases in interpretation of the relative differences in activities among the three tested enzymes in regard to the choice of added concentrations of fluorogenic substrates.
Oscar E. Romero, Simon Ramondenc, and Gerhard Fischer
Biogeosciences, 18, 1873–1891, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-1873-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-1873-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Upwelling intensity along NW Africa varies on the interannual to decadal timescale. Understanding its changes is key for the prediction of future changes of CO2 sequestration in the northeastern Atlantic. Based on a multiyear (1988–2009) sediment trap experiment at the site CBmeso, fluxes and the species composition of the diatom assemblage are presented. Our data help in establishing the scientific basis for forecasting and modeling future states of this ecosystem and its decadal changes.
Katharine T. Bigham, Ashley A. Rowden, Daniel Leduc, and David A. Bowden
Biogeosciences, 18, 1893–1908, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-1893-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-1893-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Turbidity flows – underwater avalanches – are large-scale physical disturbances believed to have profound impacts on productivity and diversity of benthic communities in the deep sea. We reviewed published studies and found that current evidence for changes in productivity is ambiguous at best, but the influence on regional and local diversity is clearer. We suggest study design criteria that may lead to a better understanding of large-scale disturbance effects on deep-sea benthos.
Phillip Williamson, Hans-Otto Pörtner, Steve Widdicombe, and Jean-Pierre Gattuso
Biogeosciences, 18, 1787–1792, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-1787-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-1787-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
The reliability of ocean acidification research was challenged in early 2020 when a high-profile paper failed to corroborate previously observed impacts of high CO2 on the behaviour of coral reef fish. We now know the reason why: the
replicatedstudies differed in many ways. Open-minded and collaborative assessment of all research results, both negative and positive, remains the best way to develop process-based understanding of the impacts of ocean acidification on marine organisms.
Michael Lintner, Bianca Lintner, Wolfgang Wanek, Nina Keul, and Petra Heinz
Biogeosciences, 18, 1395–1406, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-1395-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-1395-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Foraminifera are unicellular marine organisms that play an important role in the marine element cycle. Changes of environmental parameters such as salinity or temperature have a significant impact on the faunal assemblages. Our experiments show that changes in salinity immediately influence the foraminiferal activity. Also the light regime has a significant impact on carbon or nitrogen processing in foraminifera which contain no kleptoplasts.
Cited articles
Andrews, O. D., Bindoff, N. L., Halloran, P. R., Ilyina, T., and Le Quéré, C.: Detecting an external influence on recent changes in oceanic oxygen using an optimal fingerprinting method, Biogeosciences, 10, 1799–1813, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-1799-2013, 2013.
Baumann, H., Wallace, R. B., Tagliaferri, T., and Gobler, C. J.: Large
Natural pH, CO2 and O2 Fluctuations in a Temperate Tidal Salt Marsh on Diel,
Seasonal, and Interannual Time Scales, Estuar. Coast., 38, 220–231,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12237-014-9800-y, 2015.
Benson, B. B. and Krause, D.: The concentration and isotopic fractionation
of oxygen dissolved in freshwater and seawater in equilibrium with the
atmosphere, Limnol. Oceanogr., 29, 620–632,
https://doi.org/10.4319/lo.1984.29.3.0620, 1984.
Bindoff, N. L., Cheung, W. W. L., Kairo, J. G., Arístegui, J., Guinder, V. A., Hallberg, R., Hilmi, N., Jiao, N., Karim, M. S., Levin, L., O'Donoghue, S., Purca Cuicapusa, S. R., Rinkevich, B., Suga, T., Tagliabue, A., and Williamson, P.: Changing Ocean, Marine Ecosystems, and Dependent Communities, in: IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate , edited by: Pörtner, H.-O., Roberts, D. C., Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Tignor, M., Poloczanska, E., Mintenbeck, K., Alegría, A., Nicolai, M., Okem, A., Petzold, J., Rama, B., and Weyer, N. M., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, 447–587. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157964.007, 2019.
Bittig, H., Körtzinger, A., Johnson, K., Claustre, H., Emerson, S.,
Fennel, K., Garcia, H., Gilbert, D., Gruber, N., Kang, D.-J., Naqvi, W.,
Prakash, S., Riser, S., Thierry, V., Tilbrook, B., Uchida, H., Ulloa, O.,
and Xing, X.: SCOR WG 142: Quality Control Procedures for Oxygen and Other
Biogeochemical Sensors on Floats and Gliders. Recommendations on the
conversion between oxygen quantities for Bio-Argo floats and other
autonomous sensor platforms, Ifremer, https://doi.org/10.13155/45915, 2018.
Bopp, L., Resplandy, L., Orr, J. C., Doney, S. C., Dunne, J. P., Gehlen, M., Halloran, P., Heinze, C., Ilyina, T., Séférian, R., Tjiputra, J., and Vichi, M.: Multiple stressors of ocean ecosystems in the 21st century: projections with CMIP5 models, Biogeosciences, 10, 6225–6245, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-6225-2013, 2013.
Boucher, O., Denvil, S., Levavasseur, G., Cozic, A., Caubel, A., Foujols,
M.-A., Meurdesoif, Y., Cadule, P., Devilliers, M., Ghattas, J., Lebas, N.,
Lurton, T., Mellul, L., Musat, I., Mignot, J., and Cheruy, F.: IPSL
IPSL-CM6A-LR model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP piControl, Earth System
Grid Federation [data set], https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.5251, 2018a.
Boucher, O., Denvil, S., Levavasseur, G., Cozic, A., Caubel, A., Foujols,
M.-A., Meurdesoif, Y., Cadule, P., Devilliers, M., Ghattas, J., Lebas, N.,
Lurton, T., Mellul, L., Musat, I., Mignot, J., and Cheruy, F.: IPSL
IPSL-CM6A-LR model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP historical,
https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.5195, 2018b.
Boucher, O., Denvil, S., Levavasseur, G., Cozic, A., Caubel, A., Foujols,
M.-A., Meurdesoif, Y., Cadule, P., Devilliers, M., Dupont, E., and Lurton,
T.: IPSL IPSL-CM6A-LR model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp585,
https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.5271, 2019a.
Boucher, O., Denvil, S., Levavasseur, G., Cozic, A., Caubel, A., Foujols,
M.-A., Meurdesoif, Y., Cadule, P., Devilliers, M., Dupont, E., and Lurton,
T.: IPSL IPSL-CM6A-LR model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp126,
Earth System Grid Federation [data set], https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.5262, 2019b.
Boyd, P. W., Collins, S., Dupont, S., Fabricius, K., Gattuso, J.-P.,
Havenhand, J., Hutchins, D. A., Riebesell, U., Rintoul, M. S., Vichi, M.,
Biswas, H., Ciotti, A., Gao, K., Gehlen, M., Hurd, C. L., Kurihara, H.,
McGraw, C. M., Navarro, J. M., Nilsson, G. E., Passow, U., and Pörtner,
H.-O.: Experimental strategies to assess the biological ramifications of
multiple drivers of global ocean change – A review, Global Change Biol.,
24, 2239–2261, https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14102, 2018.
Boyer, T. P., Garcia, H. E., Locarnini, R. A., Zweng, M. M., Mishonov, A.
V., Reagan, J. R., Weathers, K. W., Baranova, O. K., Seidov, D., and
Smolyar, I. V.: World Ocean Atlas 2018 (oxygen, salinity and temperature),
[data set], https://accession.nodc.noaa.gov/NCEI-WOA18 (last access: 18 August 2021) 2018.
Breitburg, D., Levin, L. A., Oschlies, A., Grégoire, M., Chavez, F. P.,
Conley, D. J., Garçon, V., Gilbert, D., Gutiérrez, D., Isensee, K.,
Jacinto, G. S., Limburg, K. E., Montes, I., Naqvi, S. W. A., Pitcher, G. C.,
Rabalais, N. N., Roman, M. R., Rose, K. A., Seibel, B. A., Telszewski, M.,
Yasuhara, M., and Zhang, J.: Declining oxygen in the global ocean and
coastal waters, Science, 359, eaam7240, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aam7240, 2018.
Bryndum-Buchholz, A., Tittensor, D. P., Blanchard, J. L., Cheung, W. W. L.,
Coll, M., Galbraith, E. D., Jennings, S., Maury, O., and Lotze, H. K.:
Twenty-first-century climate change impacts on marine animal biomass and
ecosystem structure across ocean basins, Global Change Biol., 25, 459–472,
https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14512, 2019.
Buchanan, P. J. and Tagliabue, A.: The Regional Importance of Oxygen Demand
and Supply for Historical Ocean Oxygen Trends, Geophys. Res. Lett.,
48, e2021GL094797, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094797, 2021.
Cabré, A., Marinov, I., Bernardello, R., and Bianchi, D.: Oxygen minimum zones in the tropical Pacific across CMIP5 models: mean state differences and climate change trends, Biogeosciences, 12, 5429–5454, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-5429-2015, 2015.
Casanueva, A., Herrera, S., Iturbide, M., Lange, S., Jury, M., Dosio, A.,
Maraun, D., and Gutiérrez, J. M.: Testing bias adjustment methods for
regional climate change applications under observational uncertainty and
resolution mismatch, Atmos. Sci. Lett., 21, e978,
https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.978, 2020.
Cheung, W. W., Lam, V. W., and Pauly, D.: Dynamic bioclimate envelope model to predict climate-induced changes in distribution of marine fishes and invertebrates. (Modelling present and climate-shifted distributions of marine fishes and invertebrates, Fisheries Centre Research Report, Issue, Fisheries Centre, University of British Columbia, ISSN 1198-6727, 2008.
Cheung, W. W. L., Reygondeau, G., and Frölicher, T. L.: Large benefits
to marine fisheries of meeting the 1.5 ∘C global warming target, Science, 354,
1591–1594, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aag2331, 2016.
Cheung, W. W. L., Dunne, J., Sarmiento, J. L., and Pauly, D.: Integrating
ecophysiology and plankton dynamics into projected maximum fisheries catch
potential under climate change in the Northeast Atlantic, ICES J. Mar. Sci., 68, 1008–1018, https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsr012, 2011.
Cheung, W. W. L., Lam, V. W. Y., Sarmiento, J. L., Kearney, K., Watson, R.,
and Pauly, D.: Projecting global marine biodiversity impacts under climate
change scenarios, Fish Fish., 10, 235–251,
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-2979.2008.00315.x, 2009.
Cheung, W. W. L., Lam, V. W. Y., Sarmiento, J. L., Kearney, K., Watson, R.,
Zeller, D., and Pauly, D.: Large-scale redistribution of maximum fisheries
catch potential in the global ocean under climate change, Global Change Biol., 16, 24–35, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01995.x, 2010.
Cheung, W. W. L., Frölicher, T. L., Lam, V. W. Y., Oyinlola, M. A.,
Reygondeau, G., Sumaila, U. R., Tai, T. C., Teh, L. C. L., and Wabnitz, C.
C. C.: Marine high temperature extremes amplify the impacts of climate
change on fish and fisheries, Sci. Adv., 7, eabh0895,
https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abh0895, 2021.
Clarke, T. M., Wabnitz, C. C. C., Striegel, S., Frölicher, T. L.,
Reygondeau, G., and Cheung, W. W. L.: Aerobic Growth Index (AGI): an index
to understand the impacts of ocean warming and deoxygenation on global
marine fisheries resources, Prog. Oceanogr., 195, 102588,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2021.102588, 2021.
Close, C., Cheung, W. L., Hodgson, S., Lam, V., Watson, R., and Pauly, D.:
Distribution ranges of commercial fishes and invertebrates, edited by: Palomares, M. L. D., Stergiou, K. I., and Pauly, D., Fishes in Databases and Ecosystems, Fisheries Centre Research Reports, 14, 27–37, Fisheries Centre, University of British Columbia, ISSN 1198-6727, 2006.
Cocco, V., Joos, F., Steinacher, M., Frölicher, T. L., Bopp, L., Dunne, J., Gehlen, M., Heinze, C., Orr, J., Oschlies, A., Schneider, B., Segschneider, J., and Tjiputra, J.: Oxygen and indicators of stress for marine life in multi-model global warming projections, Biogeosciences, 10, 1849–1868, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-1849-2013, 2013.
Collins, M., Truebano, M., Verberk, W. C. E. P., and Spicer, J. I.: Do
aquatic ectotherms perform better under hypoxia after warm acclimation?,
J. Exp. Biol., 224, jeb232512, https://doi.org/10.1242/jeb.232512, 2021.
Collins, S., Whittaker, H., and Thomas, M. K.: The need for unrealistic
experiments in Global Change Biologie, Curr. Opin. Microbiol., 68,
102151, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mib.2022.102151, 2022.
Deser, C., Alexander, M. A., Xie, S.-P., and Phillips, A. S.: Sea Surface
Temperature Variability: Patterns and Mechanisms, Annu. Rev. Mar. Sci., 2, 115–143, https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-marine-120408-151453, 2009.
Deutsch, C., Penn, J. L., and Seibel, B.: Metabolic trait diversity shapes
marine biogeography, Nature, 585, 557–562, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2721-y, 2020.
Deutsch, C., Ferrel, A., Seibel, B., Pörtner, H.-O., and Huey, R. B.:
Climate change tightens a metabolic constraint on marine habitats, Science,
348, 1132, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaa1605, 2015.
Doney, S. C., Ruckelshaus, M., Emmett Duffy, J., Barry, J. P., Chan, F.,
English, C. A., Galindo, H. M., Grebmeier, J. M., Hollowed, A. B., Knowlton,
N., Polovina, J., Rabalais, N. N., Sydeman, W. J., and Talley, L. D.:
Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems, Annu. Rev. Mar.
Sci., 4, 11–37, https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-marine-041911-111611, 2011.
Enns, T., Scholander, P. F., and Bradstreet, E. D.: Effect of Hydrostatic
Pressure on Gases Dissolved in Water, J. Phys. Chem., 69,
389–391, https://doi.org/10.1021/j100886a005, 1965.
Eyring, V., Bony, S., Meehl, G. A., Senior, C. A., Stevens, B., Stouffer, R. J., and Taylor, K. E.: Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization, Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 1937–1958, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-1937-2016, 2016.
Fernandes, J. A., Cheung, W. W. L., Jennings, S., Butenschön, M., de
Mora, L., Frölicher, T. L., Barange, M., and Grant, A.: Modelling the
effects of climate change on the distribution and production of marine
fishes: accounting for trophic interactions in a dynamic bioclimate envelope
model, Global Change Biol., 19, 2596–2607,
https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12231, 2013.
Frölicher, T. L. and Laufkötter, C.: Emerging risks from marine heat
waves, Nat. Commun., 9, 650, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-03163-6, 2018.
Frölicher, T. L., Joos, F., Plattner, G. K., Steinacher, M., and Doney,
S. C.: Natural variability and anthropogenic trends in oceanic oxygen in a
coupled carbon cycle–climate model ensemble, Global Biogeochem. Cy.,
23, GB1003, https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GB003316, 2009.
Frölicher, T. L., Aschwanden, M. T., Gruber, N., Jaccard, S. L., Dunne,
J. P., and Paynter, D.: Contrasting Upper and Deep Ocean Oxygen Response to
Protracted Global Warming, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 34, e2020GB006601,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GB006601, 2020.
Garcia, H. E. and Gordon, L. I.: Oxygen solubility in seawater: Better
fitting equations, Limnol. Oceanogr., 37, 1307–1312,
https://doi.org/10.4319/lo.1992.37.6.1307, 1992.
Garcia, H. E., Weathers, K. W., Paver, C. R., Smolyar, I. V., Boyer, T. P.,
Locarnini, R. A., Zweng, M. M., Mishonov, A. V., Baranova, O. K., Seidov,
D., and Reagan, J. R.: World Ocean Atlas 2018, in: Dissolved Oxygen,
Apparent Oxygen Utilization, and Dissolved Oxygen Saturation,
Mishonov Technical Ed., NOAA Atlas NESDIS 83, 38 pp., 2019.
García-Molinos, J., Halpern, Benjamin S., Schoeman, David S., Brown,
Christopher J., Kiessling, W., Moore, Pippa J., Pandolfi, John M.,
Poloczanska, E. S., Richardson, A. J., and Burrows, M. T.:
Climate velocity and the future global redistribution of marine
biodiversity, Nat. Clim. Change, 6, 83–88, https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2769, 2016.
Glueckauf, E.: The Composition of Atmospheric Air, in: Compendium of
Meteorology: Prepared under the Direction of the Committee on the Compendium
of Meteorology, edited by: Byers, H. R., Landsberg, H. E., Wexler, H.,
Haurwitz, B., Spilhaus, A. F., Willett, H. C., Houghton, H. G., and Malone,
T. F., American Meteorological Society, Boston, MA, 3–10,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-940033-70-9_ 1, 1951.
Good, P., Sellar, A., Tang, Y., Rumbold, S., Ellis, R., Kelley, D., and
Kuhlbrodt, T.: MOHC UKESM1.0-LL model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP
ssp126, Earth System Grid Federation [data set], https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.6333,
2019a.
Good, P., Sellar, A., Tang, Y., Rumbold, S., Ellis, R., Kelley, D., and
Kuhlbrodt, T.: MOHC UKESM1.0-LL model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP
ssp585, https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.6405, 2019b.
Gotelli, N. J., Moyes, F., Antão, L. H., Blowes, S. A., Dornelas, M.,
McGill, B. J., Penny, A., Schipper, A. M., Shimadzu, H., Supp, S. R.,
Waldock, C. A., and Magurran, A. E.: Long-term changes in temperate marine
fish assemblages are driven by a small subset of species, Global Change Biol., 28, 46–53, https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15947, 2021.
Grégoire, M., Garçon, V., Garcia, H., Breitburg, D., Isensee, K.,
Oschlies, A., Telszewski, M., Barth, A., Bittig, H. C., Carstensen, J.,
Carval, T., Chai, F., Chavez, F., Conley, D., Coppola, L., Crowe, S.,
Currie, K., Dai, M., Deflandre, B., Dewitte, B., Diaz, R., Garcia-Robledo,
E., Gilbert, D., Giorgetti, A., Glud, R., Gutierrez, D., Hosoda, S., Ishii,
M., Jacinto, G., Langdon, C., Lauvset, S. K., Levin, L. A., Limburg, K. E.,
Mehrtens, H., Montes, I., Naqvi, W., Paulmier, A., Pfeil, B., Pitcher, G.,
Pouliquen, S., Rabalais, N., Rabouille, C., Recape, V., Roman, M., Rose, K.,
Rudnick, D., Rummer, J., Schmechtig, C., Schmidtko, S., Seibel, B., Slomp,
C., Sumalia, U. R., Tanhua, T., Thierry, V., Uchida, H., Wanninkhof, R., and
Yasuhara, M.: A Global Ocean Oxygen Database and Atlas for Assessing and
Predicting Deoxygenation and Ocean Health in the Open and Coastal Ocean,
Front. Mar. Sci., 8, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2021.724913, 2021.
Gruber, N., Boyd, P. W., Frölicher, T. L., and Vogt, M.: Biogeochemical
extremes and compound events in the ocean, Nature, 600, 395-407,
10.1038/s41586-021-03981-7, 2021.
Hausfather, Z., Marvel, K., Schmidt, G. A., Nielsen-Gammon, J. W., and
Zelinka, M.: Climate simulations: recognize the 'hot model' problem, Nature,
605, 26–29, https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-022-01192-2, 2022.
Hersbach, H., Bell, B., Berrisford, P., Hirahara, S., Horányi, A.,
Muñoz-Sabater, J., Nicolas, J., Peubey, C., Radu, R., Schepers, D.,
Simmons, A., Soci, C., Abdalla, S., Abellan, X., Balsamo, G., Bechtold, P.,
Biavati, G., Bidlot, J., Bonavita, M., De Chiara, G., Dahlgren, P., Dee, D.,
Diamantakis, M., Dragani, R., Flemming, J., Forbes, R., Fuentes, M., Geer,
A., Haimberger, L., Healy, S., Hogan, R. J., Hólm, E., Janisková,
M., Keeley, S., Laloyaux, P., Lopez, P., Lupu, C., Radnoti, G., de Rosnay,
P., Rozum, I., Vamborg, F., Villaume, S., and Thépaut, J.-N.: The ERA5
global reanalysis, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.,
146, 1999–2049, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3803, 2020.
IPCC: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of
Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United
Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896, 2021.
Ito, T., Minobe, S., Long, M. C., and Deutsch, C.: Upper ocean O2 trends:
1958–2015, Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 4214–4223,
https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL073613, 2017.
Jacox, M. G., Alexander, M. A., Bograd, S. J., and Scott, J. D.: Thermal
displacement by marine heatwaves, Nature, 584, 82–86,
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2534-z, 2020.
John, J. G., Blanton, C., McHugh, C., Radhakrishnan, A., Rand, K.,
Vahlenkamp, H., Wilson, C., Zadeh, N. T., Dunne, J. P., Dussin, R.,
Horowitz, L. W., Krasting, J. P., Lin, P., Malyshev, S., Naik, V., Ploshay,
J., Shevliakova, E., Silvers, L., Stock, C., Winton, M., and Zeng, Y.:
NOAA-GFDL GFDL-ESM4 model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp126,
Earth System Grid Federation [data set], https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.8684, 2018a.
John, J. G., Blanton, C., McHugh, C., Radhakrishnan, A., Rand, K.,
Vahlenkamp, H., Wilson, C., Zadeh, N. T., Dunne, J. P., Dussin, R.,
Horowitz, L. W., Krasting, J. P., Lin, P., Malyshev, S., Naik, V., Ploshay,
J., Shevliakova, E., Silvers, L., Stock, C., Winton, M., and Zeng, Y.:
NOAA-GFDL GFDL-ESM4 model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp585,
https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.8706, 2018b.
Jungclaus, J., Bittner, M., Wieners, K.-H., Wachsmann, F., Schupfner, M.,
Legutke, S., Giorgetta, M., Reick, C., Gayler, V., Haak, H., de Vrese, P.,
Raddatz, T., Esch, M., Mauritsen, T., von Storch, J.-S., Behrens, J.,
Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Crueger, T., Fast, I., Fiedler, S., Hagemann, S.,
Hohenegger, C., Jahns, T., Kloster, S., Kinne, S., Lasslop, G., Kornblueh,
L., Marotzke, J., Matei, D., Meraner, K., Mikolajewicz, U., Modali, K.,
Müller, W., Nabel, J., Notz, D., Peters-von Gehlen, K., Pincus, R.,
Pohlmann, H., Pongratz, J., Rast, S., Schmidt, H., Schnur, R., Schulzweida,
U., Six, K., Stevens, B., Voigt, A., and Roeckner, E.: MPI-M MPI-ESM1.2-HR
model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP piControl, https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.6674,
2019a.
Jungclaus, J., Bittner, M., Wieners, K.-H., Wachsmann, F., Schupfner, M.,
Legutke, S., Giorgetta, M., Reick, C., Gayler, V., Haak, H., de Vrese, P.,
Raddatz, T., Esch, M., Mauritsen, T., von Storch, J.-S., Behrens, J.,
Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Crueger, T., Fast, I., Fiedler, S., Hagemann, S.,
Hohenegger, C., Jahns, T., Kloster, S., Kinne, S., Lasslop, G., Kornblueh,
L., Marotzke, J., Matei, D., Meraner, K., Mikolajewicz, U., Modali, K.,
Müller, W., Nabel, J., Notz, D., Peters-von Gehlen, K., Pincus, R.,
Pohlmann, H., Pongratz, J., Rast, S., Schmidt, H., Schnur, R., Schulzweida,
U., Six, K., Stevens, B., Voigt, A., and Roeckner, E.: MPI-M MPI-ESM1.2-HR
model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP historical, https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.6594,
2019b.
Keeling, R. F., Körtzinger, A., and Gruber, N.: Ocean Deoxygenation in a
Warming World, Annu. Rev. Mar. Sci., 2, 199–229,
https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.marine.010908.163855, 2010.
Krasting, J. P., John, J. G., Blanton, C., McHugh, C., Nikonov, S.,
Radhakrishnan, A., Rand, K., Zadeh, N. T., Balaji, V., Durachta, J., Dupuis,
C., Menzel, R., Robinson, T., Underwood, S., Vahlenkamp, H., Dunne, K. A.,
Gauthier, P. P. G., Ginoux, P., Griffies, S. M., Hallberg, R., Harrison, M.,
Hurlin, W., Malyshev, S., Naik, V., Paulot, F., Paynter, D. J., Ploshay, J.,
Reichl, B. G., Schwarzkopf, D. M., Seman, C. J., Silvers, L., Wyman, B.,
Zeng, Y., Adcroft, A., Dunne, J. P., Dussin, R., Guo, H., He, J., Held, I.
M., Horowitz, L. W., Lin, P., Milly, P. C. D., Shevliakova, E., Stock, C.,
Winton, M., Wittenberg, A. T., Xie, Y., and Zhao, M.: NOAA-GFDL GFDL-ESM4
model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP piControl, Earth System Grid Federation
[data set], https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.8669, 2018a.
Krasting, J. P., John, J. G., Blanton, C., McHugh, C., Nikonov, S.,
Radhakrishnan, A., Rand, K., Zadeh, N. T., Balaji, V., Durachta, J., Dupuis,
C., Menzel, R., Robinson, T., Underwood, S., Vahlenkamp, H., Dunne, K. A.,
Gauthier, P. P. G., Ginoux, P., Griffies, S. M., Hallberg, R., Harrison, M.,
Hurlin, W., Malyshev, S., Naik, V., Paulot, F., Paynter, D. J., Ploshay, J.,
Reichl, B. G., Schwarzkopf, D. M., Seman, C. J., Silvers, L., Wyman, B.,
Zeng, Y., Adcroft, A., Dunne, J. P., Dussin, R., Guo, H., He, J., Held, I.
M., Horowitz, L. W., Lin, P., Milly, P. C. D., Shevliakova, E., Stock, C.,
Winton, M., Wittenberg, A. T., Xie, Y., and Zhao, M.: NOAA-GFDL GFDL-ESM4
model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP historical, https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.8597,
2018b.
Kwiatkowski, L., Torres, O., Bopp, L., Aumont, O., Chamberlain, M., Christian, J. R., Dunne, J. P., Gehlen, M., Ilyina, T., John, J. G., Lenton, A., Li, H., Lovenduski, N. S., Orr, J. C., Palmieri, J., Santana-Falcón, Y., Schwinger, J., Séférian, R., Stock, C. A., Tagliabue, A., Takano, Y., Tjiputra, J., Toyama, K., Tsujino, H., Watanabe, M., Yamamoto, A., Yool, A., and Ziehn, T.: Twenty-first century ocean warming, acidification, deoxygenation, and upper-ocean nutrient and primary production decline from CMIP6 model projections, Biogeosciences, 17, 3439–3470, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-3439-2020, 2020.
Le Grix, N., Zscheischler, J., Rodgers, K. B., Yamaguchi, R., and Frölicher, T. L.: Hotspots and drivers of compound marine heatwaves and low net primary production extremes, Biogeosciences, 19, 5807–5835, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-5807-2022, 2022.
Levin, L. A. and Le Bris, N.: The deep ocean under climate change, Science,
350, 766–768, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aad0126, 2015.
Liao, M.-L., Li, G.-Y., Wang, J., Marshall, D. J., Hui, T. Y., Ma, S.-Y.,
Zhang, Y.-M., Helmuth, B., and Dong, Y.-W.: Physiological determinants of
biogeography: The importance of metabolic depression to heat tolerance,
Global Change Biol., 27, 2561–2579, https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15578,
2021.
Locarnini, R. A., Mishonov, A. V., Baranova, O. K., Boyer, T. P., Zweng, M.
M., Garcia, H. E., Reagan, J. R., Seidov, D., Weathers, K. W., Paver, C. R.,
and Smolyar, I. V.: World Ocean Atlas 2018, Volume 1: Temperature, A.
Mishonov Technical Ed., NOAA Atlas NESDIS 81, 52 pp., 2019.
Long, M. C., Deutsch, C., and Ito, T.: Finding forced trends in oceanic
oxygen, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 30, 381–397,
https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GB005310, 2016.
Maraun, D.: Bias Correcting Climate Change Simulations – a Critical Review,
Current Climate Change Reports, 2, 211–220, https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-016-0050-x, 2016.
McCormick, L. R. and Levin, L. A.: Physiological and ecological implications
of ocean deoxygenation for vision in marine organisms, Philosophical
Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Phys. Eng. Sci., 375, 20160322, https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2016.0322, 2017.
Meehl, G. A., Senior, C. A., Eyring, V., Flato, G., Lamarque, J.-F.,
Stouffer, R. J., Taylor, K. E., and Schlund, M.: Context for interpreting
equilibrium climate sensitivity and transient climate response from the
CMIP6 Earth system models, Sci. Adv., 6, eaba1981, https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aba1981,
2020.
Meinshausen, M., Lewis, J., McGlade, C., Gütschow, J., Nicholls, Z.,
Burdon, R., Cozzi, L., and Hackmann, B.: Realization of Paris Agreement
pledges may limit warming just below 2 ∘C, Nature, 604, 304–309,
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-04553-z, 2022.
Morée, Cheung, W. L., Clarke, T. M., and Frölicher, T. L.:
2-Dimensional habitat files for 47 representative marine species
Zenodo [data set], https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7936678, 2023.
Morice, C. P., Kennedy, J. J., Rayner, N. A., Winn, J. P., Hogan, E.,
Killick, R. E., Dunn, R. J. H., Osborn, T. J., Jones, P. D., and Simpson, I.
R.: An Updated Assessment of Near-Surface Temperature Change From 1850: The
HadCRUT5 Data Set, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 126,
e2019JD032361, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD032361, 2021.
Oschlies, A.: A committed fourfold increase in ocean oxygen loss, Nature
Communications, 12, 2307, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22584-4, 2021.
Oschlies, A., Brandt, P., Stramma, L., and Schmidtko, S.: Drivers and
mechanisms of ocean deoxygenation, Nat. Geosci., 11, 467–473,
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0152-2, 2018.
Oschlies, A., Duteil, O., Getzlaff, J., Koeve, W., Landolfi, A., and
Schmidtko, S.: Patterns of deoxygenation: sensitivity to natural and
anthropogenic drivers, Phys. Eng. Sci., 375, 20160325,
https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2016.0325, 2017.
Palumbi, S. R., Evans, T. G., Pespeni, M. H., and Somero, G. N.: Present and
future adaptation of marine species assemblages: DNA-based insights into
climate change from studies of physiology, genomics, and evolution,
Oceanography, 32, 82–93, https://doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2019.314, 2019.
Pauly, D.: Gasping fish and panting squids: oxygen, temperature and the
growth of water-breathing animals, International Ecology Institute, ISSN 0932-2205, 2010.
Pauly, D. and Cheung, W. W. L.: Sound physiological knowledge and principles
in modeling shrinking of fishes under climate change, Global Change Biol.,
24, 15–26, https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13831, 2018.
Penn, J. L., Deutsch, C., Payne, J. L., and Sperling, E. A.:
Temperature-dependent hypoxia explains biogeography and severity of
end-Permian marine mass extinction, Science, 362, eaat1327,
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aat1327, 2018.
Perry, A. L., Low, P. J., Ellis, J. R., and Reynolds, J. D.: Climate Change
and Distribution Shifts in Marine Fishes, Science, 308, 1912–1915,
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1111322, 2005.
Pinsky, M. L., Worm, B., Fogarty, M. J., Sarmiento, J. L., and Levin, S. A.:
Marine Taxa Track Local Climate Velocities, Science, 341, 1239–1242,
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1239352, 2013.
Pitcher, G. C., Aguirre-Velarde, A., Breitburg, D., Cardich, J., Carstensen,
J., Conley, D. J., Dewitte, B., Engel, A., Espinoza-Morriberón, D.,
Flores, G., Garçon, V., Graco, M., Grégoire, M., Gutiérrez, D.,
Hernandez-Ayon, J. M., Huang, H.-H. M., Isensee, K., Jacinto, M. E., Levin,
L., Lorenzo, A., Machu, E., Merma, L., Montes, I., Swa, N., Paulmier, A.,
Roman, M., Rose, K., Hood, R., Rabalais, N. N., Salvanes, A. G. V.,
Salvatteci, R., Sánchez, S., Sifeddine, A., Tall, A. W., Plas, A. K. v.
d., Yasuhara, M., Zhang, J., and Zhu, Z. Y.: System controls of coastal and
open ocean oxygen depletion, Prog. Oceanogr., 197, 102613,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2021.102613, 2021.
Poloczanska, E. S., Burrows, M. T., Brown, C. J., García Molinos, J.,
Halpern, B. S., Hoegh-Guldberg, O., Kappel, C. V., Moore, P. J., Richardson,
A. J., Schoeman, D. S., and Sydeman, W. J.: Responses of Marine Organisms to
Climate Change across Oceans, Front. Mar. Sci., 3,
https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2016.00062, 2016.
Poloczanska, E. S., Brown, C. J., Sydeman, W. J., Kiessling, W., Schoeman,
D. S., Moore, P. J., Brander, K., Bruno, J. F., Buckley, L. B., Burrows, M.
T., Duarte, C. M., Halpern, B. S., Holding, J., Kappel, C. V., O'Connor, M.
I., Pandolfi, J. M., Parmesan, C., Schwing, F., Thompson, S. A., and
Richardson, A. J.: Global imprint of climate change on marine life, Nat.
Clim. Change, 3, 919–925, https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1958, 2013.
Pörtner, H. O.: Oxygen- and capacity-limitation of thermal tolerance: a
matrix for integrating climate-related stressor effects in marine
ecosystems, J. Exp. Biol., 213, 881–893,
https://doi.org/10.1242/jeb.037523, 2010.
Pörtner, H. O. and Knust, R.: Climate Change Affects Marine Fishes
Through the Oxygen Limitation of Thermal Tolerance, Science, 315, 95–97,
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1135471, 2007.
Pörtner, H. O. and Peck, M. A.: Temperature – Effects of Climate
Change, in: Encyclopedia of Fish Physiology, edited by: Farrell, A. P.,
Academic Press, San Diego, 1738–1745,
https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-374553-8.00197-0, 2011.
Sampaio, E., Santos, C., Rosa, I. C., Ferreira, V., Pörtner, H.-O.,
Duarte, C. M., Levin, L. A., and Rosa, R.: Impacts of hypoxic events surpass
those of future ocean warming and acidification, Nat. Ecol. Evol., 5, 311–321, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-020-01370-3, 2021.
Sarmiento, J. L. and Gruber, N.: Ocean Biogeochemical Dynamics, Princeton
University Press, https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctt3fgxqx, 2006.
Schmidtko, S., Stramma, L., and Visbeck, M.: Decline in global oceanic
oxygen content during the past five decades, Nature, 542, 335–339,
https://doi.org/10.1038/nature21399, 2017.
Schupfner, M., Wieners, K.-H., Wachsmann, F., Steger, C., Bittner, M.,
Jungclaus, J., Früh, B., Pankatz, K., Giorgetta, M., Reick, C., Legutke,
S., Esch, M., Gayler, V., Haak, H., de Vrese, P., Raddatz, T., Mauritsen,
T., von Storch, J.-S., Behrens, J., Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Crueger, T.,
Fast, I., Fiedler, S., Hagemann, S., Hohenegger, C., Jahns, T., Kloster, S.,
Kinne, S., Lasslop, G., Kornblueh, L., Marotzke, J., Matei, D., Meraner, K.,
Mikolajewicz, U., Modali, K., Müller, W., Nabel, J., Notz, D., Peters,
K., Pincus, R., Pohlmann, H., Pongratz, J., Rast, S., Schmidt, H., Schnur,
R., Schulzweida, U., Six, K., Stevens, B., Voigt, A., and Roeckner, E.: DKRZ
MPI-ESM1.2-HR model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp585,
https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.4403, 2019a.
Schupfner, M., Wieners, K.-H., Wachsmann, F., Steger, C., Bittner, M.,
Jungclaus, J., Früh, B., Pankatz, K., Giorgetta, M., Reick, C., Legutke,
S., Esch, M., Gayler, V., Haak, H., de Vrese, P., Raddatz, T., Mauritsen,
T., von Storch, J.-S., Behrens, J., Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Crueger, T.,
Fast, I., Fiedler, S., Hagemann, S., Hohenegger, C., Jahns, T., Kloster, S.,
Kinne, S., Lasslop, G., Kornblueh, L., Marotzke, J., Matei, D., Meraner, K.,
Mikolajewicz, U., Modali, K., Müller, W., Nabel, J., Notz, D.,
Peters-von Gehlen, K., Pincus, R., Pohlmann, H., Pongratz, J., Rast, S.,
Schmidt, H., Schnur, R., Schulzweida, U., Six, K., Stevens, B., Voigt, A.,
and Roeckner, E.: DKRZ MPI-ESM1.2-HR model output prepared for CMIP6
ScenarioMIP ssp126, https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.4397, 2019b.
Séférian, R.: CNRM-CERFACS CNRM-ESM2-1 model output prepared for
CMIP6 CMIP historical, https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.4068, 2018a.
Séférian, R.: CNRM-CERFACS CNRM-ESM2-1 model output prepared for
CMIP6 CMIP piControl, Earth System Grid Federation [data set],
https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.4165, 2018b.
Seibel, B. A.: Critical oxygen levels and metabolic suppression in oceanic
oxygen minimum zones, J. Exp. Biol., 214, 326–336,
doi:0.1242/jeb.049171, 2011.
Seibel, B. A. and Birk, M. A.: Unique thermal sensitivity imposes a
cold-water energetic barrier for vertical migrators, Nat. Clim. Change,
12, 1052–1058, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01491-6, 2022.
Seibel, B. A., Andres, A., Birk, M. A., Burns, A. L., Shaw, C. T., Timpe, A.
W., and Welsh, C. J.: Oxygen supply capacity breathes new life into critical
oxygen partial pressure (Pcrit), J. Exp. Biol., 224,
jeb242210, https://doi.org/10.1242/jeb.242210, 2021.
Sharp, J. D., Fassbender, A. J., Carter, B. R., Johnson, G. C., Schultz, C., and Dunne, J. P.: GOBAI-O2: temporally and spatially resolved fields of ocean interior dissolved oxygen over nearly two decades, Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss. [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2022-308, in review, 2022.
Stramma, L., Schmidtko, S., Bograd, S. J., Ono, T., Ross, T., Sasano, D., and Whitney, F. A.: Trends and decadal oscillations of oxygen and nutrients at 50 to 300 m depth in the equatorial and North Pacific, Biogeosciences, 17, 813–831, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-813-2020, 2020.
Swart, N. C., Cole, J. N. S., Kharin, V. V., Lazare, M., Scinocca, J. F.,
Gillett, N. P., Anstey, J., Arora, V., Christian, J. R., Jiao, Y., Lee, W.
G., Majaess, F., Saenko, O. A., Seiler, C., Seinen, C., Shao, A., Solheim,
L., von Salzen, K., Yang, D., Winter, B., and Sigmond, M.: CCCma CanESM5
model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP historical, https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.3610,
2019a.
Swart, N. C., Cole, J. N. S., Kharin, V. V., Lazare, M., Scinocca, J. F.,
Gillett, N. P., Anstey, J., Arora, V., Christian, J. R., Jiao, Y., Lee, W.
G., Majaess, F., Saenko, O. A., Seiler, C., Seinen, C., Shao, A., Solheim,
L., von Salzen, K., Yang, D., Winter, B., and Sigmond, M.: CCCma CanESM5
model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp585,
https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.3696, 2019b.
Swart, N. C., Cole, J. N. S., Kharin, V. V., Lazare, M., Scinocca, J. F.,
Gillett, N. P., Anstey, J., Arora, V., Christian, J. R., Jiao, Y., Lee, W.
G., Majaess, F., Saenko, O. A., Seiler, C., Seinen, C., Shao, A., Solheim,
L., von Salzen, K., Yang, D., Winter, B., and Sigmond, M.: CCCma CanESM5
model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP piControl, Earth System Grid Federation
[data set], https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.3673, 2019c.
Swart, N. C., Cole, J. N. S., Kharin, V. V., Lazare, M., Scinocca, J. F.,
Gillett, N. P., Anstey, J., Arora, V., Christian, J. R., Jiao, Y., Lee, W.
G., Majaess, F., Saenko, O. A., Seiler, C., Seinen, C., Shao, A., Solheim,
L., von Salzen, K., Yang, D., Winter, B., and Sigmond, M.: CCCma CanESM5
model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp126, Earth System Grid
Federation [data set], https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.3683, 2019d.
Tai, T. C., Calosi, P., Gurney-Smith, H. J., and Cheung, W. W. L.: Modelling
ocean acidification effects with life stage-specific responses alters
spatiotemporal patterns of catch and revenues of American lobster, Homarus
americanus, Sci. Rep., 11, 23330, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-02253-8, 2021.
Tang, Y., Rumbold, S., Ellis, R., Kelley, D., Mulcahy, J., Sellar, A.,
Walton, J., and Jones, C.: MOHC UKESM1.0-LL model output prepared for CMIP6
CMIP piControl, Earth System Grid Federation [data set],
https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.6298, 2019a.
Tang, Y., Rumbold, S., Ellis, R., Kelley, D., Mulcahy, J., Sellar, A.,
Walton, J., and Jones, C.: MOHC UKESM1.0-LL model output prepared for CMIP6
CMIP historical, https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.6113, 2019b.
Taylor, C. D.: The effect of pressure upon the solubility of oxygen in
water: Implications of the deviation from the ideal gas law upon
measurements of fluorescence quenching, Archives of Biochemistry and
Biophysics, 191, 375–384, https://doi.org/10.1016/0003-9861(78)90101-7,
1978.
Tittensor, D. P., Novaglio, C., Harrison, C. S., Heneghan, R. F., Barrier,
N., Bianchi, D., Bopp, L., Bryndum-Buchholz, A., Britten, G. L.,
Büchner, M., Cheung, W. W. L., Christensen, V., Coll, M., Dunne, J. P.,
Eddy, T. D., Everett, J. D., Fernandes-Salvador, J. A., Fulton, E. A.,
Galbraith, E. D., Gascuel, D., Guiet, J., John, J. G., Link, J. S., Lotze,
H. K., Maury, O., Ortega-Cisneros, K., Palacios-Abrantes, J., Petrik, C. M.,
du Pontavice, H., Rault, J., Richardson, A. J., Shannon, L., Shin, Y.-J.,
Steenbeek, J., Stock, C. A., and Blanchard, J. L.: Next-generation ensemble
projections reveal higher climate risks for marine ecosystems, Nat.
Clim. Change, 11, 973–981, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01173-9, 2021.
Tokarska, K. B., Stolpe, M. B., Sippel, S., Fischer, E. M., Smith, C. J.,
Lehner, F., and Knutti, R.: Past warming trend constrains future warming in
CMIP6 models, Sci. Adv., 6, eaaz9549, https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aaz9549,
2020.
Vaquer-Sunyer, R. and Duarte, C. M.: Thresholds of hypoxia for marine
biodiversity, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 105,
15452–15457, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0803833105, 2008.
Verberk, W. C. E. P., Bilton, D. T., Calosi, P., and Spicer, J. I.: Oxygen
supply in aquatic ectotherms: Partial pressure and solubility together
explain biodiversity and size patterns, Ecology, 92, 1565–1572,
https://doi.org/10.1890/10-2369.1, 2011.
Voldoire, A.: CNRM-CERFACS CNRM-ESM2-1 model output prepared for CMIP6
ScenarioMIP ssp126, Earth System Grid Federation [data set],
https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.4186, 2019a.
Voldoire, A.: CNRM-CERFACS CNRM-ESM2-1 model output prepared for CMIP6
ScenarioMIP ssp585, Earth System Grid Federation [data set],
https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.4226, 2019b.
von Schuckmann, K., Cheng, L., Palmer, M. D., Hansen, J., Tassone, C., Aich, V., Adusumilli, S., Beltrami, H., Boyer, T., Cuesta-Valero, F. J., Desbruyères, D., Domingues, C., García-García, A., Gentine, P., Gilson, J., Gorfer, M., Haimberger, L., Ishii, M., Johnson, G. C., Killick, R., King, B. A., Kirchengast, G., Kolodziejczyk, N., Lyman, J., Marzeion, B., Mayer, M., Monier, M., Monselesan, D. P., Purkey, S., Roemmich, D., Schweiger, A., Seneviratne, S. I., Shepherd, A., Slater, D. A., Steiner, A. K., Straneo, F., Timmermans, M.-L., and Wijffels, S. E.: Heat stored in the Earth system: where does the energy go?, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 12, 2013–2041, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-2013-2020, 2020.
Weiss, R. F. and Price, B. A.: Nitrous oxide solubility in water and
seawater, Mar. Chem., 8, 347–359,
https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4203(80)90024-9, 1980.
Whalen, M. A., Whippo, R. D. B., Stachowicz, J. J., York, P. H., Aiello, E.,
Alcoverro, T., Altieri, A. H., Benedetti-Cecchi, L., Bertolini, C., Bresch,
M., Bulleri, F., Carnell, P. E., Cimon, S., Connolly, R. M., Cusson, M.,
Diskin, M. S., D'Souza, E., Flores, A. A. V., Fodrie, F. J., Galloway, A. W.
E., Gaskins, L. C., Graham, O. J., Hanley, T. C., Henderson, C. J., Hereu,
C. M., Hessing-Lewis, M., Hovel, K. A., Hughes, B. B., Hughes, A. R.,
Hultgren, K. M., Jänes, H., Janiak, D. S., Johnston, L. N., Jorgensen,
P., Kelaher, B. P., Kruschel, C., Lanham, B. S., Lee, K.-S., Lefcheck, J.
S., Lozano-Álvarez, E., Macreadie, P. I., Monteith, Z. L., O'Connor, N.
E., Olds, A. D., O'Leary, J. K., Patrick, C. J., Pino, O., Poore, A. G. B.,
Rasheed, M. A., Raymond, W. W., Reiss, K., Rhoades, O. K., Robinson, M. T.,
Ross, P. G., Rossi, F., Schlacher, T. A., Seemann, J., Silliman, B. R.,
Smee, D. L., Thiel, M., Unsworth, R. K. F., van Tussenbroek, B. I.,
Vergés, A., Yeager, M. E., Yednock, B. K., Ziegler, S. L., and Duffy, J.
E.: Climate drives the geography of marine consumption by changing predator
communities, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 117,
28160–28166, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2005255117, 2020.
Zweng, M. M., Reagan, J. R., Seidov, D., Boyer, T. P., Locarnini, R. A.,
Garcia, H. E., Mishonov, A. V., Baranova, O. K., Weathers, K. W., Paver, C.
R., and Smolyar, I. V.: World Ocean Atlas 2018, Volume 2: Salinity, A.
Mishonov Technical Ed., NOAA Atlas NESDIS 82, 50 pp., 2019.
Co-editor-in-chief
Marine warming and deoxygenation are projected to intensify and drive a relative decrease in global habitat viability penetrating to all depths with warming dominating at the surface and deoxygenation becomes increasingly important with depth. In a 2°C scenario of global warming, epipelagic species' habitat losses are generally in the order of 0.1-0.5 million km3, while mesopelagic habitat losses are 0.01-0.15 million km3 and demersal losses are in the order of about 0.00025 million km3.
Marine warming and deoxygenation are projected to intensify and drive a relative decrease in...
Short summary
Ocean temperature and oxygen shape marine habitats together with species’ characteristics. We calculated the impacts of projected 21st-century warming and oxygen loss on the contemporary habitat volume of 47 marine species and described the drivers of these impacts. Most species lose less than 5 % of their habitat at 2 °C of global warming, but some species incur losses 2–3 times greater than that. We also calculate which species may be most vulnerable to climate change and why this is the case.
Ocean temperature and oxygen shape marine habitats together with species’ characteristics. We...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint