Articles | Volume 22, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-975-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-975-2025
Research article
 | 
20 Feb 2025
Research article |  | 20 Feb 2025

Climate-driven shifts in Southern Ocean primary producers and biogeochemistry in CMIP6 models

Ben J. Fisher, Alex J. Poulton, Michael P. Meredith, Kimberlee Baldry, Oscar Schofield, and Sian F. Henley

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Cited articles

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Arrigo, K. R., Mills, M. M., Kropuenske, L. R., van Dijken, G. L., Alderkamp, A. C., and Robinson, D. H.: Photophysiology in two major southern ocean phytoplankton taxa: photosynthesis and growth of Phaeocystis antarctica and Fragilariopsis cylindrus under different irradiance levels, Integr. Comp. Biol., 50, 950–966, https://doi.org/10.1093/icb/icq021, 2010. 
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Balaguer, J., Koch, F., Hassler, C., and Trimborn, S.: Iron and manganese co-limit the growth of two phytoplankton groups dominant at two locations of the Drake Passage, Commun. Biol., 5, 207, https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-022-03148-8, 2022. 
Ballerini, T., Hofmann, E. E., Ainley, D. G., Daly, K., Marrari, M., Ribic, C. A., Smith, W. O., and Steele, J. H.: Productivity and linkages of the food web of the southern region of the western Antarctic Peninsula continental shelf, Prog. Oceanogr., 122, 10–29, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2013.11.007, 2014. 
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Short summary
The Southern Ocean is a rapidly warming environment, with subsequent impacts on ecosystems and biogeochemical cycling. This study examines changes in phytoplankton and biogeochemistry using a range of climate models. Under climate change, the Southern Ocean will be warmer, more acidic and more productive and will have reduced nutrient availability by 2100. However, there is substantial variability between models across key productivity parameters. We propose ways of reducing this uncertainty.
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